ISRG Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 52 trades in period
-16.05%
Year to Date Return
$10,224.69
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,179.65
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
9.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 9.4
30-Day Momentum
10
-5.5%
30d Return
21%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,157
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,179.65
Current Value
$10,224.69
Period P&L
$-1,955.00
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
13 /
39
Best Trade
+2.73%
Worst Trade
-2.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,144,157.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,955.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,955.00
Gross Return
-16.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.05%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $12,179.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $565.16 | 21 | $11,868.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $575.31 | 21 | $12,081.42 | $12,392.75 |
+$213.06 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $599.92 | 20 | $11,998.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $595.28 | 20 | $11,905.55 | $12,299.97 |
$-92.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $586.48 | 20 | $11,729.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $581.68 | 20 | $11,633.50 | $12,203.92 |
$-96.05 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $570.96 | 21 | $11,990.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $565.51 | 21 | $11,875.71 | $12,089.37 |
$-114.55 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $542.28 | 22 | $11,930.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $536.55 | 22 | $11,804.10 | $11,963.42 |
$-125.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $545.05 | 21 | $11,446.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $540.36 | 21 | $11,347.46 | $11,864.86 |
$-98.56 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $536.44 | 22 | $11,801.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.87 | 22 | $11,613.03 | $11,676.32 |
$-188.54 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $524.39 | 22 | $11,536.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $520.22 | 22 | $11,444.84 | $11,584.58 |
$-91.74 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $530.17 | 21 | $11,133.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $525.97 | 21 | $11,045.32 | $11,496.43 |
$-88.15 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $522.76 | 21 | $10,977.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $531.02 | 21 | $11,151.42 | $11,669.99 |
+$173.57 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $527.64 | 22 | $11,608.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $523.64 | 22 | $11,519.97 | $11,581.83 |
$-88.17 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $507.55 | 22 | $11,166.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $503.44 | 22 | $11,075.68 | $11,491.41 |
$-90.42 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $501.90 | 22 | $11,041.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $500.54 | 22 | $11,011.88 | $11,461.49 |
$-29.92 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $484.89 | 23 | $11,152.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $481.04 | 23 | $11,063.81 | $11,372.82 |
$-88.67 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $481.13 | 23 | $11,065.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $477.45 | 23 | $10,981.35 | $11,288.30 |
$-84.52 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $486.75 | 23 | $11,195.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $492.50 | 23 | $11,327.50 | $11,420.55 |
+$132.25 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $497.25 | 22 | $10,939.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $493.39 | 22 | $10,854.58 | $11,335.63 |
$-84.92 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $490.45 | 23 | $11,280.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $498.38 | 23 | $11,462.74 | $11,518.02 |
+$182.39 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $499.27 | 23 | $11,483.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.00 | 23 | $11,500.00 | $11,534.70 |
+$16.68 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $489.69 | 23 | $11,262.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $501.37 | 23 | $11,531.51 | $11,803.34 |
+$268.64 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $505.63 | 23 | $11,629.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:15pm ET | $501.79 | 23 | $11,541.17 | $11,715.02 |
$-88.32 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $500.92 | 23 | $11,521.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $492.75 | 23 | $11,333.25 | $11,527.11 |
$-187.91 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.45 | 23 | $11,280.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $498.75 | 23 | $11,471.22 | $11,717.98 |
+$190.87 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $498.79 | 23 | $11,472.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $493.23 | 23 | $11,344.40 | $11,590.21 |
$-127.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $483.16 | 23 | $11,112.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $490.55 | 23 | $11,282.65 | $11,760.18 |
+$169.97 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $489.73 | 24 | $11,753.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $484.95 | 24 | $11,638.68 | $11,645.46 |
$-114.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $484.28 | 24 | $11,622.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $479.27 | 24 | $11,502.48 | $11,525.22 |
$-120.24 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $485.17 | 23 | $11,158.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $480.80 | 23 | $11,058.40 | $11,424.71 |
$-100.51 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $472.86 | 24 | $11,348.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $460.16 | 24 | $11,043.84 | $11,119.91 |
$-304.80 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $481.44 | 23 | $11,073.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.43 | 23 | $11,279.89 | $11,326.68 |
+$206.77 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $481.94 | 23 | $11,084.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $477.03 | 23 | $10,971.69 | $11,213.75 |
$-112.93 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:15pm ET | $480.47 | 23 | $11,050.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:45pm ET | $476.82 | 23 | $10,966.75 | $11,129.69 |
$-84.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $475.20 | 23 | $10,929.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.14 | 23 | $11,227.33 | $11,427.54 |
+$297.85 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.75 | 24 | $11,370.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $468.95 | 24 | $11,254.92 | $11,312.46 |
$-115.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $472.22 | 23 | $10,861.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $468.63 | 23 | $10,778.49 | $11,229.89 |
$-82.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $474.67 | 23 | $10,917.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $470.71 | 23 | $10,826.33 | $11,138.70 |
$-91.19 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $455.25 | 24 | $10,926.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $451.74 | 24 | $10,841.88 | $11,054.58 |
$-84.12 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $465.63 | 23 | $10,709.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $455.33 | 23 | $10,472.59 | $10,817.68 |
$-236.90 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $453.55 | 23 | $10,431.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $449.56 | 23 | $10,339.88 | $10,725.91 |
$-91.77 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $467.23 | 22 | $10,279.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $463.00 | 22 | $10,186.00 | $10,632.85 |
$-93.06 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $457.69 | 23 | $10,526.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $452.77 | 23 | $10,413.71 | $10,519.69 |
$-113.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $449.00 | 23 | $10,327.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $456.14 | 23 | $10,491.22 | $10,683.91 |
+$164.22 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $468.09 | 22 | $10,297.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $461.85 | 22 | $10,160.70 | $10,546.63 |
$-137.28 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $472.38 | 22 | $10,392.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $468.44 | 22 | $10,305.68 | $10,460.06 |
$-86.57 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $467.33 | 22 | $10,281.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $463.78 | 22 | $10,203.16 | $10,381.96 |
$-78.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $485.32 | 21 | $10,191.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $480.11 | 21 | $10,082.21 | $10,272.45 |
$-109.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $472.92 | 21 | $9,931.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $480.42 | 21 | $10,088.82 | $10,429.95 |
+$157.50 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $474.33 | 21 | $9,960.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $470.60 | 21 | $9,882.50 | $10,351.52 |
$-78.43 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $460.00 | 22 | $10,120.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $456.38 | 22 | $10,040.36 | $10,271.88 |
$-79.64 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $450.93 | 22 | $9,920.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.90 | 22 | $10,073.80 | $10,425.11 |
+$153.23 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $456.98 | 22 | $10,053.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $452.70 | 22 | $9,959.40 | $10,330.95 |
$-94.16 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $450.58 | 22 | $9,912.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $445.75 | 22 | $9,806.50 | $10,224.69 |
$-106.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,224.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$224.69
Total Return:
+2.25%