MCD Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
+1.73%
Year to Date Return
$11,791.93
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,591.71
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
24.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 24.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.9%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,325
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,591.71
Current Value
$11,791.93
Period P&L
$200.23
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
16 /
24
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$937,482.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$200.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$200.23
Gross Return
+1.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,591.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $307.50 | 37 | $11,377.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.95 | 37 | $11,208.97 | $11,462.03 |
$-168.54 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $301.21 | 38 | $11,445.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.99 | 38 | $11,627.68 | $11,643.73 |
+$181.70 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $307.97 | 37 | $11,394.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $305.38 | 37 | $11,299.06 | $11,548.08 |
$-95.64 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $306.54 | 37 | $11,341.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $304.07 | 37 | $11,250.59 | $11,456.87 |
$-91.22 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $306.26 | 37 | $11,331.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.74 | 37 | $11,275.20 | $11,400.63 |
$-56.24 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $304.11 | 37 | $11,252.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $308.70 | 37 | $11,421.90 | $11,570.46 |
+$169.83 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.39 | 37 | $11,558.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $317.40 | 37 | $11,743.80 | $11,756.01 |
+$185.56 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $312.28 | 37 | $11,554.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $318.99 | 37 | $11,802.54 | $12,004.19 |
+$248.18 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $321.80 | 37 | $11,906.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $319.38 | 37 | $11,817.06 | $11,914.65 |
$-89.54 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $325.00 | 36 | $11,700.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.20 | 36 | $11,599.38 | $11,814.03 |
$-100.62 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $325.10 | 36 | $11,703.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $325.51 | 36 | $11,718.36 | $11,828.79 |
+$14.76 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $325.89 | 36 | $11,732.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $323.12 | 36 | $11,632.32 | $11,729.07 |
$-99.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $326.89 | 35 | $11,441.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $332.09 | 35 | $11,623.15 | $11,911.07 |
+$182.00 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $328.81 | 36 | $11,837.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $334.36 | 36 | $12,036.78 | $12,110.69 |
+$199.62 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $334.38 | 36 | $12,037.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $331.83 | 36 | $11,945.88 | $12,018.89 |
$-91.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $334.41 | 35 | $11,704.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $339.63 | 35 | $11,886.88 | $12,201.42 |
+$182.53 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $338.35 | 36 | $12,180.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $335.74 | 36 | $12,086.82 | $12,107.64 |
$-93.78 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $331.22 | 36 | $11,923.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $328.22 | 36 | $11,815.92 | $11,999.64 |
$-108.00 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $324.35 | 36 | $11,676.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $321.60 | 36 | $11,577.46 | $11,900.68 |
$-98.96 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:15pm ET | $328.32 | 36 | $11,819.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $325.09 | 36 | $11,703.24 | $11,784.40 |
$-116.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $325.52 | 36 | $11,718.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.28 | 36 | $11,818.08 | $11,883.94 |
+$99.54 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $329.23 | 36 | $11,852.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $326.74 | 36 | $11,762.82 | $11,794.48 |
$-89.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $318.67 | 37 | $11,790.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $316.25 | 37 | $11,701.25 | $11,704.94 |
$-89.54 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.98 | 37 | $11,469.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $312.88 | 37 | $11,576.38 | $11,811.87 |
+$106.93 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.27 | 38 | $11,638.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $310.89 | 38 | $11,813.82 | $11,987.24 |
+$175.37 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $312.26 | 38 | $11,865.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $309.75 | 38 | $11,770.50 | $11,891.86 |
$-95.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $307.34 | 38 | $11,678.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $310.23 | 38 | $11,788.55 | $12,001.49 |
+$109.63 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $306.44 | 39 | $11,951.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $304.11 | 39 | $11,860.29 | $11,910.62 |
$-90.87 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $303.82 | 39 | $11,848.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.50 | 39 | $11,953.50 | $12,015.33 |
+$104.71 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.76 | 38 | $11,770.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $307.35 | 38 | $11,679.30 | $11,923.94 |
$-91.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $304.51 | 39 | $11,875.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $309.13 | 39 | $12,055.88 | $12,103.92 |
+$179.98 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $305.80 | 39 | $11,926.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $303.20 | 39 | $11,824.99 | $12,002.52 |
$-101.40 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $302.86 | 39 | $11,811.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $307.52 | 39 | $11,993.28 | $12,184.26 |
+$181.74 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $310.92 | 39 | $12,125.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $308.47 | 39 | $12,030.20 | $12,088.77 |
$-95.49 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $305.18 | 39 | $11,902.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $302.78 | 39 | $11,808.42 | $11,995.17 |
$-93.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $300.83 | 39 | $11,732.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.54 | 39 | $11,603.87 | $11,866.67 |
$-128.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $293.90 | 40 | $11,756.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $291.64 | 40 | $11,665.40 | $11,776.07 |
$-90.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $290.10 | 40 | $11,604.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.15 | 40 | $11,806.00 | $11,978.07 |
+$202.00 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $286.58 | 41 | $11,749.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $284.26 | 41 | $11,654.66 | $11,882.95 |
$-95.12 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $284.70 | 41 | $11,672.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $282.48 | 41 | $11,581.68 | $11,791.93 |
$-91.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,791.93
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,791.93
Total Return:
+17.92%