MRK Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 46 trades in period
-13.22%
Year to Date Return
$9,708.20
Current Value
24%
Win Rate
$11,187.37
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
5.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 5.5
30-Day Momentum
10
-6.7%
30d Return
23%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,306
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,187.37
Current Value
$9,708.20
Period P&L
$-1,479.20
Max Drawdown
-19.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
11 /
35
Best Trade
+5.20%
Worst Trade
-1.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
20.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$957,566.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,479.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,479.20
Gross Return
-13.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $11,187.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $107.12 | 104 | $11,140.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $106.28 | 104 | $11,053.12 | $11,099.63 |
$-87.77 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $110.01 | 100 | $11,000.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $109.02 | 100 | $10,901.50 | $11,000.54 |
$-99.09 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $110.18 | 99 | $10,907.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $109.26 | 99 | $10,816.74 | $10,909.95 |
$-90.58 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $111.17 | 98 | $10,894.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.72 | 98 | $10,752.07 | $10,767.36 |
$-142.59 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.34 | 99 | $10,725.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $107.45 | 99 | $10,637.55 | $10,679.25 |
$-88.11 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.68 | 97 | $10,638.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $108.67 | 97 | $10,540.51 | $10,580.80 |
$-98.46 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $109.82 | 96 | $10,542.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $108.86 | 96 | $10,450.56 | $10,488.64 |
$-92.16 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $108.69 | 96 | $10,433.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $110.43 | 96 | $10,601.28 | $10,656.16 |
+$167.52 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $110.28 | 96 | $10,586.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $109.37 | 96 | $10,499.04 | $10,568.32 |
$-87.84 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $107.57 | 98 | $10,541.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $107.47 | 98 | $10,532.06 | $10,558.52 |
$-9.80 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $107.39 | 98 | $10,524.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $106.51 | 98 | $10,437.98 | $10,472.28 |
$-86.24 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $109.31 | 95 | $10,384.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $108.39 | 95 | $10,297.05 | $10,384.88 |
$-87.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $112.37 | 92 | $10,338.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.21 | 92 | $10,875.32 | $10,922.15 |
+$537.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $119.29 | 91 | $10,855.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $118.14 | 91 | $10,750.74 | $10,817.28 |
$-104.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $119.68 | 90 | $10,771.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $121.57 | 90 | $10,940.85 | $10,986.48 |
+$169.20 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $118.37 | 92 | $10,890.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $117.46 | 92 | $10,806.32 | $10,902.76 |
$-83.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET | $117.39 | 92 | $10,799.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.47 | 92 | $10,715.70 | $10,818.58 |
$-84.18 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $121.44 | 89 | $10,808.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $121.72 | 89 | $10,833.29 | $10,843.27 |
+$24.69 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $123.41 | 87 | $10,736.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:40pm ET | $122.45 | 87 | $10,653.15 | $10,759.75 |
$-83.52 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $119.43 | 90 | $10,748.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $121.32 | 90 | $10,918.80 | $10,929.85 |
+$170.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $122.64 | 89 | $10,914.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $121.67 | 89 | $10,828.36 | $10,843.25 |
$-86.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $119.44 | 90 | $10,749.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $118.52 | 90 | $10,666.80 | $10,760.45 |
$-82.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $117.05 | 91 | $10,651.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $116.07 | 91 | $10,562.37 | $10,671.55 |
$-88.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $114.15 | 93 | $10,615.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $115.92 | 93 | $10,780.56 | $10,836.16 |
+$164.61 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $118.29 | 91 | $10,764.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $117.40 | 91 | $10,683.40 | $10,754.72 |
$-81.44 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $116.47 | 92 | $10,715.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.71 | 92 | $10,553.78 | $10,593.26 |
$-161.46 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $116.47 | 90 | $10,482.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $114.90 | 90 | $10,341.00 | $10,451.51 |
$-141.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $116.07 | 90 | $10,446.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.07 | 90 | $10,356.75 | $10,361.96 |
$-89.55 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $114.20 | 90 | $10,278.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $113.24 | 90 | $10,191.60 | $10,275.56 |
$-86.40 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $115.86 | 88 | $10,195.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.86 | 88 | $10,107.68 | $10,187.56 |
$-88.00 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $119.64 | 85 | $10,169.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.90 | 85 | $10,276.92 | $10,295.08 |
+$107.52 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $119.67 | 86 | $10,291.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $121.80 | 86 | $10,474.80 | $10,478.16 |
+$183.08 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $120.63 | 86 | $10,374.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $119.72 | 86 | $10,295.92 | $10,399.90 |
$-78.26 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $120.41 | 86 | $10,355.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.08 | 86 | $10,154.88 | $10,199.52 |
$-200.38 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $122.99 | 82 | $10,085.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $121.86 | 82 | $9,992.11 | $10,106.45 |
$-93.07 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $121.76 | 83 | $10,105.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.74 | 83 | $10,021.42 | $10,022.02 |
$-84.43 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.87 | 84 | $9,984.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $117.49 | 84 | $9,869.16 | $9,906.25 |
$-115.77 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $116.36 | 85 | $9,891.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $115.33 | 85 | $9,803.05 | $9,818.28 |
$-87.97 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $117.08 | 83 | $9,717.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $118.91 | 83 | $9,869.53 | $9,970.17 |
+$151.89 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.03 | 85 | $9,947.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $114.76 | 85 | $9,754.58 | $9,777.20 |
$-192.97 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $112.10 | 87 | $9,752.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $113.82 | 87 | $9,902.34 | $9,926.80 |
+$149.60 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $112.57 | 88 | $9,905.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $111.65 | 88 | $9,825.64 | $9,846.72 |
$-80.08 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $111.62 | 88 | $9,822.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $110.70 | 88 | $9,741.60 | $9,765.76 |
$-80.96 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $110.12 | 88 | $9,690.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.22 | 88 | $9,523.36 | $9,598.56 |
$-167.20 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $108.99 | 88 | $9,591.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $111.14 | 88 | $9,779.88 | $9,787.32 |
+$188.76 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $113.39 | 86 | $9,751.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $112.47 | 86 | $9,672.42 | $9,708.20 |
$-79.12 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,708.20
Net Profit/Loss:
$-291.80
Total Return:
-2.92%