MSFT Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 46 trades in period
-17.55%
Year to Date Return
$8,149.72
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$9,884.17
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 5.6
30-Day Momentum
33
+2.9%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.2
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,423
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,884.17
Current Value
$8,149.72
Period P&L
$-1,734.47
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
16 /
30
Best Trade
+2.03%
Worst Trade
-9.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$777,723.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,734.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,734.47
Gross Return
-17.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,884.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:10pm ET | $485.19 | 20 | $9,703.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $483.34 | 20 | $9,666.73 | $9,877.90 |
$-36.97 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.32 | 21 | $9,876.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $477.59 | 21 | $10,029.39 | $10,030.57 |
+$152.67 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $484.39 | 20 | $9,687.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $478.93 | 20 | $9,578.60 | $9,921.37 |
$-109.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $473.00 | 20 | $9,459.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $480.60 | 20 | $9,612.00 | $10,073.47 |
+$152.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $473.00 | 21 | $9,933.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $468.65 | 21 | $9,841.55 | $9,982.01 |
$-91.46 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $465.34 | 21 | $9,772.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $461.79 | 21 | $9,697.59 | $9,907.46 |
$-74.55 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $459.98 | 21 | $9,659.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $456.53 | 21 | $9,587.13 | $9,835.01 |
$-72.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $461.72 | 21 | $9,696.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $451.40 | 21 | $9,479.30 | $9,618.19 |
$-216.83 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.65 | 21 | $9,463.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $446.16 | 21 | $9,369.37 | $9,523.91 |
$-94.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $451.14 | 21 | $9,473.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $459.67 | 21 | $9,652.97 | $9,703.04 |
+$179.13 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $472.28 | 20 | $9,445.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $479.42 | 20 | $9,588.40 | $9,845.84 |
+$142.80 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $478.35 | 20 | $9,567.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $432.00 | 20 | $8,640.00 | $8,918.84 |
$-927.00 (-9.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $431.04 | 20 | $8,620.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $427.64 | 20 | $8,552.80 | $8,850.84 |
$-68.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 21 | $8,747.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $412.62 | 21 | $8,665.11 | $8,768.29 |
$-82.55 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $415.08 | 21 | $8,716.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.70 | 21 | $8,519.70 | $8,571.42 |
$-196.88 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $395.30 | 21 | $8,301.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $401.74 | 21 | $8,436.54 | $8,706.66 |
+$135.24 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $421.05 | 20 | $8,421.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $417.62 | 20 | $8,352.40 | $8,638.06 |
$-68.60 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.99 | 21 | $8,378.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $395.52 | 21 | $8,305.92 | $8,565.08 |
$-72.98 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $401.04 | 21 | $8,421.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $397.87 | 21 | $8,355.33 | $8,498.57 |
$-66.51 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $397.46 | 21 | $8,346.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $392.93 | 21 | $8,251.53 | $8,403.33 |
$-95.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $386.11 | 21 | $8,108.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $392.96 | 21 | $8,252.16 | $8,547.24 |
+$143.91 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $402.07 | 21 | $8,443.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $390.58 | 21 | $8,202.18 | $8,305.95 |
$-241.29 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $399.90 | 20 | $7,998.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $392.75 | 20 | $7,855.00 | $8,162.95 |
$-143.00 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.68 | 20 | $8,013.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $407.93 | 20 | $8,158.60 | $8,307.95 |
+$145.00 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $408.40 | 20 | $8,168.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.44 | 20 | $8,148.84 | $8,288.79 |
$-19.16 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $404.56 | 20 | $8,091.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.00 | 20 | $8,020.00 | $8,217.59 |
$-71.20 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $398.17 | 20 | $7,963.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $394.61 | 20 | $7,892.30 | $8,146.49 |
$-71.10 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $388.77 | 20 | $7,775.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.42 | 20 | $7,688.30 | $8,059.39 |
$-87.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $382.57 | 21 | $8,033.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.52 | 21 | $7,906.92 | $7,932.44 |
$-126.95 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $373.47 | 21 | $7,842.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $370.56 | 21 | $7,781.76 | $7,871.33 |
$-61.11 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $370.13 | 21 | $7,772.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $367.35 | 21 | $7,714.35 | $7,812.95 |
$-58.38 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $359.38 | 21 | $7,546.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $364.79 | 21 | $7,660.59 | $7,926.67 |
+$113.72 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $363.42 | 21 | $7,631.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $368.87 | 21 | $7,746.27 | $8,041.22 |
+$114.55 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $372.05 | 21 | $7,813.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $369.08 | 21 | $7,750.70 | $7,978.87 |
$-62.35 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $371.02 | 21 | $7,791.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.18 | 21 | $7,836.78 | $8,024.23 |
+$45.36 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.46 | 21 | $7,779.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $367.15 | 21 | $7,710.25 | $7,954.83 |
$-69.40 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $377.73 | 21 | $7,932.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $374.26 | 21 | $7,859.46 | $7,881.86 |
$-72.97 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $369.38 | 21 | $7,756.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $374.96 | 21 | $7,874.16 | $7,999.04 |
+$117.18 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $392.90 | 20 | $7,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.89 | 20 | $8,017.80 | $8,158.84 |
+$159.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $418.78 | 19 | $7,956.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $425.86 | 19 | $8,091.34 | $8,293.36 |
+$134.52 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $418.70 | 19 | $7,955.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $425.60 | 19 | $8,086.40 | $8,424.46 |
+$131.10 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $431.19 | 19 | $8,192.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $419.14 | 19 | $7,963.57 | $8,195.42 |
$-229.04 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $418.16 | 19 | $7,945.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $424.59 | 19 | $8,067.21 | $8,317.59 |
+$122.17 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $423.60 | 19 | $8,048.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.24 | 19 | $7,794.56 | $8,063.75 |
$-253.84 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $411.86 | 19 | $7,825.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $419.72 | 19 | $7,974.68 | $8,213.18 |
+$149.43 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $410.85 | 19 | $7,806.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $407.51 | 19 | $7,742.69 | $8,149.72 |
$-63.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,149.72
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,850.28
Total Return:
-18.50%