NVDA Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 50 trades in period
-2.20%
Year to Date Return
$13,101.74
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$13,396.96
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
24.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 24.1
30-Day Momentum
16
+0.8%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.3
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,480
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,396.96
Current Value
$13,101.74
Period P&L
$-295.27
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
18 /
32
Best Trade
+2.99%
Worst Trade
-2.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,344,435.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-295.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-295.27
Gross Return
-2.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.20%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,396.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $189.03 | 70 | $13,232.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.98 | 70 | $13,508.25 | $13,673.17 |
+$276.15 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $189.12 | 72 | $13,616.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $187.57 | 72 | $13,505.03 | $13,561.56 |
$-111.61 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $189.70 | 71 | $13,468.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.22 | 71 | $13,363.27 | $13,456.10 |
$-105.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.05 | 73 | $13,435.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.91 | 73 | $13,498.43 | $13,519.25 |
+$63.15 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.61 | 73 | $13,476.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $187.40 | 73 | $13,679.90 | $13,722.62 |
+$203.37 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $181.69 | 75 | $13,626.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.12 | 75 | $14,034.00 | $14,129.87 |
+$407.25 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $187.46 | 75 | $14,059.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.09 | 75 | $13,656.75 | $13,727.12 |
$-402.75 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $180.13 | 76 | $13,689.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $182.98 | 76 | $13,906.48 | $13,944.10 |
+$216.98 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $184.66 | 75 | $13,849.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $187.56 | 75 | $14,067.00 | $14,161.97 |
+$217.88 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $187.04 | 75 | $14,028.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $189.93 | 75 | $14,244.76 | $14,378.73 |
+$216.76 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $190.99 | 75 | $14,324.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $189.53 | 75 | $14,214.75 | $14,269.23 |
$-109.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $192.34 | 74 | $14,233.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $190.58 | 74 | $14,102.55 | $14,138.62 |
$-130.61 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $189.65 | 74 | $14,034.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $188.13 | 74 | $13,921.62 | $14,026.14 |
$-112.48 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET | $176.90 | 79 | $13,975.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $179.74 | 79 | $14,199.45 | $14,250.55 |
+$224.41 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.20 | 81 | $14,110.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $171.46 | 81 | $13,888.26 | $14,028.61 |
$-221.94 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $191.17 | 73 | $13,955.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $190.19 | 73 | $13,883.87 | $13,957.07 |
$-71.54 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.80 | 76 | $13,816.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $179.96 | 76 | $13,676.96 | $13,817.23 |
$-139.84 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET | $189.09 | 73 | $13,803.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET | $187.53 | 73 | $13,689.69 | $13,703.35 |
$-113.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $188.60 | 72 | $13,579.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.46 | 72 | $13,784.76 | $13,908.55 |
+$205.20 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.48 | 73 | $13,759.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $191.49 | 73 | $13,978.78 | $14,128.29 |
+$219.74 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $196.84 | 71 | $13,975.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.70 | 71 | $13,752.63 | $13,905.63 |
$-222.66 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.11 | 76 | $13,764.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $179.49 | 76 | $13,641.24 | $13,782.51 |
$-123.12 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $182.25 | 75 | $13,668.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.59 | 75 | $13,394.25 | $13,508.01 |
$-274.50 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $183.85 | 73 | $13,421.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.13 | 73 | $13,222.49 | $13,309.45 |
$-198.56 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $181.69 | 73 | $13,263.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $180.10 | 73 | $13,147.66 | $13,193.74 |
$-115.71 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $185.16 | 71 | $13,146.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $183.74 | 71 | $13,045.89 | $13,092.92 |
$-100.82 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.01 | 71 | $13,064.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $182.61 | 71 | $12,965.32 | $12,993.88 |
$-99.04 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $183.49 | 70 | $12,843.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $182.07 | 70 | $12,744.89 | $12,894.82 |
$-99.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $183.91 | 70 | $12,873.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $188.33 | 70 | $13,182.89 | $13,204.02 |
+$309.20 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $182.23 | 72 | $13,120.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $180.78 | 72 | $13,016.10 | $13,099.56 |
$-104.46 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $177.09 | 73 | $12,927.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $175.72 | 73 | $12,827.56 | $12,999.55 |
$-100.01 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $177.24 | 73 | $12,938.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $175.51 | 73 | $12,812.59 | $12,873.60 |
$-125.95 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $175.35 | 73 | $12,800.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.90 | 73 | $13,060.06 | $13,132.75 |
+$259.15 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $175.88 | 74 | $13,015.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $174.03 | 74 | $12,878.22 | $12,995.48 |
$-137.27 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $168.10 | 77 | $12,944.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $166.54 | 77 | $12,823.58 | $12,874.97 |
$-120.51 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $170.27 | 75 | $12,770.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $173.21 | 75 | $12,991.12 | $13,095.84 |
+$220.87 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $176.65 | 74 | $13,072.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $175.30 | 74 | $12,972.20 | $12,995.57 |
$-100.27 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.35 | 73 | $12,873.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $175.01 | 73 | $12,776.09 | $12,897.75 |
$-97.82 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $181.39 | 71 | $12,878.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.51 | 71 | $13,100.21 | $13,119.62 |
+$221.87 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.13 | 70 | $13,029.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $188.96 | 70 | $13,227.55 | $13,318.07 |
+$198.45 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $194.41 | 68 | $13,220.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.85 | 68 | $13,453.46 | $13,551.31 |
+$233.24 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $196.24 | 69 | $13,540.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $199.21 | 69 | $13,745.15 | $13,756.24 |
+$204.93 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $200.51 | 68 | $13,634.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $199.01 | 68 | $13,532.34 | $13,653.90 |
$-102.34 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $200.74 | 68 | $13,650.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $199.02 | 68 | $13,533.70 | $13,537.28 |
$-116.62 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $201.45 | 67 | $13,497.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $199.31 | 67 | $13,353.77 | $13,393.90 |
$-143.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $209.37 | 63 | $13,190.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $212.82 | 63 | $13,407.97 | $13,611.57 |
+$217.67 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.49 | 64 | $13,599.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $210.50 | 64 | $13,472.00 | $13,484.53 |
$-127.04 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.24 | 64 | $13,327.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $206.49 | 64 | $13,215.68 | $13,372.66 |
$-111.87 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $199.76 | 66 | $13,184.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $197.61 | 66 | $13,042.26 | $13,230.44 |
$-142.22 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $197.81 | 66 | $13,055.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $195.86 | 66 | $12,926.76 | $13,101.74 |
$-128.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,101.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,101.74
Total Return:
+31.02%