TQQQ Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 56 trades in period
-13.90%
Year to Date Return
$11,275.97
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$13,095.80
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
17.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 17.1
30-Day Momentum
51
+7.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.3
Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,480
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,095.80
Current Value
$11,275.97
Period P&L
$-1,819.82
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
17 /
39
Best Trade
+2.83%
Worst Trade
-3.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
15.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,302,779.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,819.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,819.82
Gross Return
-13.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $13,095.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $53.20 | 246 | $13,087.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.26 | 246 | $12,855.96 | $12,864.55 |
$-231.24 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $53.98 | 238 | $12,846.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $53.54 | 238 | $12,742.52 | $12,761.02 |
$-103.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $55.89 | 228 | $12,741.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $55.39 | 228 | $12,628.99 | $12,648.23 |
$-112.79 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.51 | 227 | $12,601.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:10pm ET | $56.11 | 227 | $12,736.97 | $12,784.12 |
+$135.88 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.61 | 229 | $12,734.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $55.19 | 229 | $12,638.56 | $12,688.46 |
$-95.65 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $55.40 | 229 | $12,685.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $54.90 | 229 | $12,571.66 | $12,574.67 |
$-113.79 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $54.13 | 232 | $12,558.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.05 | 232 | $12,075.16 | $12,091.67 |
$-483.00 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.65 | 234 | $12,086.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $51.24 | 234 | $11,990.91 | $11,996.48 |
$-95.19 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $53.99 | 222 | $11,984.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $53.54 | 222 | $11,885.88 | $11,897.69 |
$-98.79 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.23 | 219 | $11,876.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $55.05 | 219 | $12,055.95 | $12,077.27 |
+$179.58 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $56.53 | 213 | $12,040.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.68 | 213 | $12,285.84 | $12,322.24 |
+$244.97 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.72 | 217 | $12,307.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.27 | 217 | $12,210.57 | $12,225.11 |
$-97.13 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $54.77 | 223 | $12,213.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $54.27 | 223 | $12,102.21 | $12,113.61 |
$-111.50 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $55.34 | 218 | $12,064.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.92 | 218 | $11,972.56 | $12,022.03 |
$-91.58 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.97 | 235 | $11,977.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $50.21 | 235 | $11,799.40 | $11,843.48 |
$-178.55 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $47.32 | 250 | $11,830.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $48.17 | 250 | $12,042.50 | $12,055.98 |
+$212.50 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $50.16 | 240 | $12,038.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $50.99 | 240 | $12,237.60 | $12,255.20 |
+$199.22 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $51.82 | 236 | $12,228.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $51.41 | 236 | $12,132.76 | $12,159.15 |
$-96.05 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.72 | 254 | $12,120.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $46.76 | 254 | $11,877.04 | $11,915.31 |
$-243.84 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $50.03 | 238 | $11,907.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $49.51 | 238 | $11,783.59 | $11,791.31 |
$-124.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.35 | 243 | $11,749.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.95 | 243 | $11,651.85 | $11,694.11 |
$-97.20 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.48 | 236 | $11,677.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.94 | 236 | $11,548.66 | $11,565.49 |
$-128.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $49.69 | 232 | $11,528.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.56 | 232 | $11,731.08 | $11,768.49 |
+$203.00 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.56 | 228 | $11,755.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.06 | 228 | $11,641.20 | $11,654.01 |
$-114.48 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.58 | 239 | $11,611.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $49.34 | 239 | $11,791.95 | $11,834.14 |
+$180.13 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $48.77 | 242 | $11,802.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $49.66 | 242 | $12,017.72 | $12,049.52 |
+$215.38 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $48.12 | 250 | $12,028.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.16 | 250 | $12,290.00 | $12,310.77 |
+$261.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.11 | 245 | $12,276.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.66 | 245 | $12,166.70 | $12,200.52 |
$-110.25 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $48.18 | 253 | $12,189.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.65 | 253 | $12,055.45 | $12,066.43 |
$-134.09 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $50.07 | 240 | $12,016.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $49.55 | 240 | $11,892.00 | $11,941.63 |
$-124.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $49.06 | 243 | $11,921.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.17 | 243 | $11,706.52 | $11,726.57 |
$-215.06 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $47.06 | 249 | $11,716.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $46.49 | 249 | $11,576.01 | $11,585.89 |
$-140.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $47.38 | 244 | $11,560.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $48.21 | 244 | $11,763.24 | $11,788.39 |
+$202.50 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $48.11 | 245 | $11,786.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.68 | 245 | $11,681.60 | $11,683.09 |
$-105.30 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.75 | 261 | $11,679.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.36 | 261 | $11,578.33 | $11,581.67 |
$-101.42 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.72 | 258 | $11,537.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $44.06 | 258 | $11,367.22 | $11,411.16 |
$-170.51 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $45.36 | 251 | $11,385.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $44.73 | 251 | $11,227.23 | $11,253.00 |
$-158.16 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $43.85 | 256 | $11,226.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $43.49 | 256 | $11,133.44 | $11,159.56 |
$-93.44 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $44.49 | 250 | $11,122.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.20 | 250 | $10,800.00 | $10,837.09 |
$-322.47 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.44 | 267 | $10,797.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.00 | 267 | $10,680.00 | $10,719.61 |
$-117.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $38.81 | 276 | $10,711.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $38.44 | 276 | $10,608.06 | $10,616.14 |
$-103.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $43.54 | 243 | $10,581.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $43.18 | 243 | $10,492.76 | $10,527.47 |
$-88.67 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $42.72 | 246 | $10,509.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.69 | 246 | $10,747.74 | $10,766.09 |
+$238.62 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.68 | 246 | $10,745.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.34 | 246 | $10,661.64 | $10,682.45 |
$-83.64 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $47.71 | 223 | $10,639.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $47.31 | 223 | $10,550.15 | $10,593.27 |
$-89.18 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $48.58 | 218 | $10,590.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.49 | 218 | $10,788.82 | $10,791.63 |
+$198.36 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.75 | 221 | $10,773.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $49.53 | 221 | $10,946.26 | $10,964.32 |
+$172.69 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $52.75 | 207 | $10,919.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.65 | 207 | $11,106.58 | $11,151.65 |
+$187.33 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $56.31 | 198 | $11,148.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $55.88 | 198 | $11,064.24 | $11,067.50 |
$-84.15 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $58.31 | 189 | $11,020.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $57.73 | 189 | $10,910.50 | $10,957.24 |
$-110.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $57.90 | 189 | $10,942.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $57.37 | 189 | $10,842.95 | $10,858.03 |
$-99.21 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $59.71 | 181 | $10,807.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $60.62 | 181 | $10,971.97 | $11,022.49 |
+$164.46 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $62.30 | 176 | $10,965.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.71 | 176 | $10,860.96 | $10,918.23 |
$-104.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $60.69 | 179 | $10,862.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.99 | 179 | $10,739.10 | $10,794.72 |
$-123.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $61.01 | 176 | $10,736.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.73 | 176 | $11,040.48 | $11,098.32 |
+$303.60 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $64.96 | 170 | $11,043.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $66.00 | 170 | $11,220.85 | $11,275.97 |
+$177.65 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,275.97
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,275.97
Total Return:
+12.76%