TLT Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-02-14 to present • 38 trades in period
-5.38%
Last Year Return
$9,259.99
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$9,786.79
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
45,269
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-02-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
269 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,786.79
Current Value
$9,259.99
Period P&L
$-526.80
Max Drawdown
-7.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
18 /
20
Best Trade
+0.84%
Worst Trade
-1.89%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$720,458.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-526.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-526.80
Gross Return
-5.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 269 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $9,786.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2025 2:15pm ET | $88.78 | 110 | $9,765.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 2:45pm ET | $89.27 | 110 | $9,819.18 | $9,857.78 |
+$53.38 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 1:05pm ET | $89.84 | 109 | $9,792.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 1:35pm ET | $89.84 | 109 | $9,792.56 | $9,858.33 |
+$0.55 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $92.06 | 107 | $9,849.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $91.32 | 107 | $9,771.24 | $9,779.68 |
$-78.65 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $92.27 | 105 | $9,687.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $92.22 | 105 | $9,682.58 | $9,774.43 |
$-5.25 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $90.17 | 108 | $9,738.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 12:05pm ET | $90.30 | 108 | $9,752.40 | $9,788.47 |
+$14.04 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 2:00pm ET | $90.88 | 107 | $9,724.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2025 2:30pm ET | $90.86 | 107 | $9,722.02 | $9,785.96 |
$-2.51 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $91.90 | 106 | $9,741.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $91.78 | 106 | $9,728.68 | $9,773.24 |
$-12.72 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 12:40pm ET | $90.12 | 108 | $9,732.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 1:35pm ET | $89.10 | 108 | $9,622.80 | $9,663.08 |
$-110.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:45pm ET | $88.15 | 109 | $9,608.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 2:35pm ET | $87.21 | 109 | $9,505.89 | $9,560.62 |
$-102.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 12:40pm ET | $86.74 | 110 | $9,540.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 1:10pm ET | $87.11 | 110 | $9,582.10 | $9,601.87 |
+$41.25 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 12:25pm ET | $87.97 | 109 | $9,588.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 12:55pm ET | $87.92 | 109 | $9,583.28 | $9,596.42 |
$-5.45 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 2:00pm ET | $88.49 | 108 | $9,556.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 11:35am ET | $87.55 | 108 | $9,454.86 | $9,494.44 |
$-101.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $89.34 | 106 | $9,470.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $89.83 | 106 | $9,521.98 | $9,546.38 |
+$51.94 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $90.20 | 105 | $9,471.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $88.68 | 105 | $9,311.40 | $9,386.78 |
$-159.60 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 1:45pm ET | $87.38 | 107 | $9,350.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 2:15pm ET | $88.12 | 107 | $9,428.31 | $9,465.04 |
+$78.26 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 12:55pm ET | $86.28 | 109 | $9,403.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 1:25pm ET | $86.31 | 109 | $9,407.25 | $9,468.31 |
+$3.27 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 12:25pm ET | $85.66 | 110 | $9,422.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 12:55pm ET | $85.50 | 110 | $9,404.45 | $9,450.71 |
$-17.60 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 11:35am ET | $84.03 | 112 | $9,411.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 12:05pm ET | $84.69 | 112 | $9,485.28 | $9,524.63 |
+$73.92 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 12:10pm ET | $85.88 | 110 | $9,446.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $85.02 | 110 | $9,352.17 | $9,429.99 |
$-94.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $86.29 | 109 | $9,405.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $86.30 | 109 | $9,406.70 | $9,431.08 |
+$1.09 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2025 1:35pm ET | $86.47 | 109 | $9,424.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 2:05pm ET | $86.70 | 109 | $9,450.30 | $9,456.53 |
+$25.45 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 1:15pm ET | $86.69 | 109 | $9,448.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 1:45pm ET | $87.32 | 109 | $9,517.88 | $9,525.74 |
+$69.21 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $87.17 | 109 | $9,501.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $86.98 | 109 | $9,480.28 | $9,504.99 |
$-20.75 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 1:05pm ET | $88.12 | 107 | $9,428.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 1:35pm ET | $88.16 | 107 | $9,433.14 | $9,509.29 |
+$4.30 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 2:55pm ET | $88.40 | 107 | $9,458.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 3:25pm ET | $88.06 | 107 | $9,421.89 | $9,472.91 |
$-36.38 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 2:20pm ET | $86.81 | 109 | $9,461.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $87.06 | 109 | $9,489.00 | $9,500.16 |
+$27.25 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $86.41 | 109 | $9,418.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 10:25am ET | $86.74 | 109 | $9,454.66 | $9,536.13 |
+$35.97 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $87.19 | 109 | $9,504.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 1:30pm ET | $86.81 | 109 | $9,462.29 | $9,494.38 |
$-41.75 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 11:15am ET | $88.40 | 107 | $9,458.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 11:35am ET | $87.35 | 107 | $9,346.44 | $9,382.55 |
$-111.83 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $86.61 | 108 | $9,354.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $86.72 | 108 | $9,365.22 | $9,393.67 |
+$11.12 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 1:05pm ET | $89.96 | 104 | $9,355.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 1:35pm ET | $90.20 | 104 | $9,380.80 | $9,419.15 |
+$25.48 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 1:50pm ET | $90.49 | 104 | $9,410.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 2:20pm ET | $90.38 | 104 | $9,399.00 | $9,407.19 |
$-11.96 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $91.15 | 103 | $9,387.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 1:10pm ET | $91.11 | 103 | $9,384.34 | $9,403.60 |
$-3.59 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $90.63 | 103 | $9,334.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $88.91 | 103 | $9,158.19 | $9,226.90 |
$-176.70 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:15pm ET | $87.54 | 105 | $9,191.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $88.02 | 105 | $9,241.58 | $9,276.77 |
+$49.87 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $87.82 | 105 | $9,220.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $87.60 | 105 | $9,197.48 | $9,253.67 |
$-23.10 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $87.31 | 105 | $9,167.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $87.64 | 105 | $9,202.20 | $9,288.32 |
+$34.65 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $87.41 | 106 | $9,265.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $87.14 | 106 | $9,237.13 | $9,259.99 |
$-28.33 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,259.99
Net Profit/Loss:
$-740.01
Total Return:
-7.40%