VTI Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-02-14 to present • 45 trades in period
+4.72%
Last Year Return
$11,628.40
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$11,104.31
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,839
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-02-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
269 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,104.31
Current Value
$11,628.40
Period P&L
$524.09
Max Drawdown
-9.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
23 /
22
Best Trade
+3.68%
Worst Trade
-3.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$978,050.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$524.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$524.09
Gross Return
+4.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.72%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 269 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $11,104.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2025 2:30pm ET | $301.24 | 36 | $10,844.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 3:00pm ET | $301.97 | 36 | $10,870.92 | $11,107.91 |
+$26.28 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 10:55am ET | $290.57 | 38 | $11,041.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 1:15pm ET | $287.43 | 38 | $10,922.34 | $10,988.78 |
$-119.13 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $287.09 | 38 | $10,909.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $284.05 | 38 | $10,793.90 | $10,873.26 |
$-115.52 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 2:00pm ET | $286.84 | 37 | $10,613.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $283.89 | 37 | $10,503.93 | $10,764.11 |
$-109.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $285.56 | 37 | $10,565.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 12:00pm ET | $282.47 | 37 | $10,451.39 | $10,649.78 |
$-114.33 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 1:05pm ET | $276.70 | 38 | $10,514.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 1:35pm ET | $279.16 | 38 | $10,608.08 | $10,743.26 |
+$93.48 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2025 2:30pm ET | $280.29 | 38 | $10,651.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $276.30 | 38 | $10,499.40 | $10,591.64 |
$-151.62 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 2:40pm ET | $279.42 | 37 | $10,338.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2025 3:10pm ET | $278.57 | 37 | $10,306.91 | $10,560.00 |
$-31.64 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $278.56 | 37 | $10,306.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 1:25pm ET | $283.34 | 37 | $10,483.58 | $10,736.86 |
+$176.86 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 11:35am ET | $272.14 | 39 | $10,613.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 12:05pm ET | $276.44 | 39 | $10,781.25 | $10,904.65 |
+$167.79 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 12:10pm ET | $276.46 | 39 | $10,781.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $273.51 | 39 | $10,666.89 | $10,789.60 |
$-115.05 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 11:20am ET | $276.84 | 38 | $10,519.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $266.80 | 38 | $10,138.27 | $10,408.14 |
$-381.46 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $252.54 | 41 | $10,354.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $245.70 | 41 | $10,073.50 | $10,127.48 |
$-280.66 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $247.74 | 40 | $9,909.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $256.85 | 40 | $10,274.00 | $10,491.88 |
+$364.40 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 12:40pm ET | $260.38 | 40 | $10,415.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $265.73 | 40 | $10,629.00 | $10,705.68 |
+$213.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 11:05am ET | $258.15 | 41 | $10,583.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $267.52 | 41 | $10,968.32 | $11,090.05 |
+$384.37 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 10:30am ET | $266.90 | 41 | $10,942.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $268.86 | 41 | $11,023.32 | $11,170.47 |
+$80.42 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 1:25pm ET | $270.86 | 41 | $11,105.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2025 1:55pm ET | $269.34 | 41 | $11,042.92 | $11,108.13 |
$-62.34 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2025 1:45pm ET | $273.02 | 40 | $10,920.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $266.96 | 40 | $10,678.24 | $10,865.77 |
$-242.36 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 1:30pm ET | $270.75 | 40 | $10,830.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $276.28 | 40 | $11,051.00 | $11,086.77 |
+$221.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 2:35pm ET | $279.49 | 39 | $10,900.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2025 3:05pm ET | $278.25 | 39 | $10,851.56 | $11,038.21 |
$-48.56 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET | $276.96 | 39 | $10,801.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 12:40pm ET | $275.81 | 39 | $10,756.59 | $10,993.36 |
$-44.85 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $280.21 | 39 | $10,928.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 12:10pm ET | $277.89 | 39 | $10,837.52 | $10,902.88 |
$-90.48 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:30pm ET | $290.22 | 37 | $10,738.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 2:00pm ET | $289.33 | 37 | $10,705.05 | $10,869.78 |
$-33.10 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 12:05pm ET | $290.39 | 37 | $10,744.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 12:35pm ET | $291.72 | 37 | $10,793.64 | $10,918.99 |
+$49.21 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 12:50pm ET | $292.58 | 37 | $10,825.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 1:20pm ET | $292.20 | 37 | $10,811.40 | $10,905.04 |
$-13.95 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 1:15pm ET | $285.78 | 38 | $10,859.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 1:45pm ET | $290.71 | 38 | $11,046.98 | $11,092.52 |
+$187.48 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $290.72 | 38 | $11,047.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 2:20pm ET | $290.34 | 38 | $11,032.92 | $11,078.08 |
$-14.44 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 12:15pm ET | $293.40 | 37 | $10,855.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 12:45pm ET | $293.78 | 37 | $10,869.86 | $11,092.32 |
+$14.24 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $296.13 | 37 | $10,956.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $299.80 | 37 | $11,092.60 | $11,228.11 |
+$135.79 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 3:30pm ET | $316.03 | 35 | $11,061.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.91 | 35 | $11,091.85 | $11,258.91 |
+$30.80 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.82 | 35 | $11,088.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $317.57 | 35 | $11,114.95 | $11,285.16 |
+$26.25 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $319.99 | 35 | $11,199.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $319.90 | 35 | $11,196.50 | $11,282.01 |
$-3.15 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 3:05pm ET | $329.94 | 34 | $11,217.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:35pm ET | $327.95 | 34 | $11,150.13 | $11,214.35 |
$-67.66 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 2:35pm ET | $329.52 | 34 | $11,203.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:05pm ET | $329.94 | 34 | $11,217.96 | $11,228.63 |
+$14.28 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $325.92 | 34 | $11,081.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:30am ET | $329.19 | 34 | $11,192.46 | $11,339.81 |
+$111.18 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $334.67 | 33 | $11,044.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $330.68 | 33 | $10,912.28 | $11,208.04 |
$-131.77 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $330.19 | 33 | $10,896.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $328.21 | 33 | $10,830.93 | $11,142.70 |
$-65.34 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $324.47 | 34 | $11,031.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $328.27 | 34 | $11,161.18 | $11,271.90 |
+$129.20 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $328.53 | 34 | $11,169.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 1:05pm ET | $331.44 | 34 | $11,268.96 | $11,371.01 |
+$99.11 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:10pm ET | $331.33 | 34 | $11,265.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $334.55 | 34 | $11,374.70 | $11,480.49 |
+$109.48 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:50pm ET | $336.97 | 34 | $11,456.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:20pm ET | $336.38 | 34 | $11,436.75 | $11,460.43 |
$-20.06 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $338.59 | 33 | $11,173.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET | $339.73 | 33 | $11,211.09 | $11,498.05 |
+$37.62 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $339.63 | 33 | $11,207.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $340.89 | 33 | $11,249.37 | $11,539.63 |
+$41.58 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $340.48 | 33 | $11,235.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $343.17 | 33 | $11,324.45 | $11,628.40 |
+$88.77 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,628.40
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,628.40
Total Return:
+16.28%