XLF Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-02-14 to present • 48 trades in period
-4.12%
Last Year Return
$9,574.46
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,985.65
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,018
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-02-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
269 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,985.65
Current Value
$9,574.46
Period P&L
$-411.19
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
24 /
24
Best Trade
+3.56%
Worst Trade
-3.94%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$934,508.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-411.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-411.19
Gross Return
-4.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 269 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $9,985.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 3:40pm ET | $51.92 | 192 | $9,968.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 3:25pm ET | $51.40 | 192 | $9,868.80 | $9,885.87 |
$-99.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 3:10pm ET | $50.44 | 196 | $9,885.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $49.56 | 196 | $9,713.76 | $9,714.37 |
$-171.50 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 11:30am ET | $48.42 | 200 | $9,683.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $48.87 | 200 | $9,773.00 | $9,804.25 |
+$89.88 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $49.15 | 199 | $9,779.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 3:10pm ET | $49.00 | 199 | $9,751.00 | $9,775.39 |
$-28.86 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 11:50am ET | $49.49 | 197 | $9,748.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2025 12:20pm ET | $49.82 | 197 | $9,814.54 | $9,841.29 |
+$65.90 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $49.35 | 199 | $9,819.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 12:15pm ET | $49.93 | 199 | $9,935.08 | $9,956.71 |
+$115.42 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 11:30am ET | $50.06 | 198 | $9,910.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $48.09 | 198 | $9,520.87 | $9,566.69 |
$-390.02 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $44.73 | 213 | $9,527.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $43.55 | 213 | $9,276.15 | $9,315.35 |
$-251.34 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $44.63 | 208 | $9,282.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $45.70 | 208 | $9,505.60 | $9,538.95 |
+$223.60 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $46.46 | 205 | $9,524.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $47.52 | 205 | $9,740.58 | $9,755.23 |
+$216.28 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 12:15pm ET | $47.04 | 207 | $9,736.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $46.14 | 207 | $9,550.50 | $9,569.49 |
$-185.74 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 11:55am ET | $46.92 | 203 | $9,523.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $48.59 | 203 | $9,862.76 | $9,908.50 |
+$339.01 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $47.91 | 206 | $9,869.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 10:55am ET | $47.96 | 206 | $9,879.76 | $9,918.80 |
+$10.30 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2025 1:30pm ET | $48.56 | 204 | $9,905.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $47.69 | 204 | $9,727.74 | $9,741.32 |
$-177.48 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 12:50pm ET | $48.40 | 201 | $9,727.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 1:20pm ET | $48.94 | 201 | $9,836.94 | $9,850.86 |
+$109.54 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 2:45pm ET | $49.00 | 201 | $9,848.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $49.88 | 201 | $10,025.88 | $10,028.75 |
+$177.89 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $49.68 | 201 | $9,984.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $49.15 | 201 | $9,879.15 | $9,923.22 |
$-105.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 11:20am ET | $49.50 | 200 | $9,900.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 11:50am ET | $49.54 | 200 | $9,907.00 | $9,930.22 |
+$7.00 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $50.30 | 197 | $9,909.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 10:30am ET | $49.79 | 197 | $9,808.63 | $9,829.75 |
$-100.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 1:00pm ET | $51.63 | 190 | $9,808.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 1:30pm ET | $51.75 | 190 | $9,832.50 | $9,853.50 |
+$23.75 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 1:25pm ET | $50.17 | 196 | $9,832.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 1:55pm ET | $50.93 | 196 | $9,982.28 | $10,003.44 |
+$149.94 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 2:00pm ET | $50.91 | 196 | $9,977.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 2:30pm ET | $50.78 | 196 | $9,951.90 | $9,977.96 |
$-25.48 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 3:25pm ET | $51.02 | 195 | $9,947.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $50.35 | 195 | $9,818.25 | $9,848.28 |
$-129.68 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 3:20pm ET | $50.97 | 193 | $9,836.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.08 | 193 | $9,858.44 | $9,870.47 |
+$22.19 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.01 | 193 | $9,844.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $49.93 | 193 | $9,635.53 | $9,661.06 |
$-209.41 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $50.76 | 190 | $9,643.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $51.39 | 190 | $9,764.10 | $9,781.71 |
+$120.65 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 12:20pm ET | $52.19 | 187 | $9,758.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 12:50pm ET | $52.31 | 187 | $9,781.97 | $9,805.09 |
+$23.38 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 1:15pm ET | $52.67 | 186 | $9,796.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 1:45pm ET | $52.47 | 186 | $9,759.44 | $9,767.91 |
$-37.18 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 3:05pm ET | $52.59 | 185 | $9,729.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:35pm ET | $52.52 | 185 | $9,715.28 | $9,754.03 |
$-13.88 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 3:45pm ET | $53.06 | 183 | $9,710.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $53.17 | 183 | $9,729.20 | $9,772.51 |
+$18.48 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 2:10pm ET | $51.94 | 188 | $9,764.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $51.73 | 188 | $9,724.30 | $9,732.09 |
$-40.42 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 3:50pm ET | $53.01 | 183 | $9,699.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 3:35pm ET | $52.47 | 183 | $9,602.01 | $9,634.18 |
$-97.91 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $53.44 | 180 | $9,619.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 11:00am ET | $53.32 | 180 | $9,596.70 | $9,611.68 |
$-22.50 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:20pm ET | $53.55 | 179 | $9,585.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 3:50pm ET | $53.83 | 179 | $9,634.68 | $9,660.91 |
+$49.23 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 1:40pm ET | $53.98 | 178 | $9,607.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $53.90 | 178 | $9,593.31 | $9,646.67 |
$-14.24 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $54.29 | 177 | $9,609.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $53.70 | 177 | $9,504.02 | $9,541.35 |
$-105.32 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $52.86 | 180 | $9,514.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $53.50 | 180 | $9,630.00 | $9,656.55 |
+$115.20 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:15pm ET | $52.80 | 182 | $9,608.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $52.87 | 182 | $9,621.43 | $9,669.29 |
+$12.74 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:50pm ET | $52.77 | 183 | $9,656.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 3:20pm ET | $53.05 | 183 | $9,707.24 | $9,720.53 |
+$51.24 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $51.83 | 187 | $9,692.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $51.70 | 187 | $9,667.90 | $9,696.22 |
$-24.31 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:40am ET | $53.52 | 181 | $9,687.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $52.98 | 181 | $9,588.48 | $9,597.57 |
$-98.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $53.55 | 179 | $9,585.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $53.64 | 179 | $9,601.56 | $9,613.68 |
+$16.11 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $53.82 | 178 | $9,579.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $54.91 | 178 | $9,773.09 | $9,806.81 |
+$193.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:45pm ET | $54.90 | 178 | $9,771.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:15pm ET | $54.90 | 178 | $9,771.31 | $9,806.81 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:40pm ET | $55.39 | 177 | $9,803.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $55.49 | 177 | $9,821.08 | $9,824.74 |
+$17.93 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $56.37 | 174 | $9,807.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $56.28 | 174 | $9,791.85 | $9,809.08 |
$-15.66 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $56.46 | 173 | $9,766.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $55.73 | 173 | $9,641.29 | $9,683.65 |
$-125.43 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $54.08 | 179 | $9,681.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $53.47 | 179 | $9,572.02 | $9,574.46 |
$-109.19 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,574.46
Net Profit/Loss:
$-425.54
Total Return:
-4.26%