Compendium › Orion Breakout › AVAXUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVAXUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Orion Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 30 trades in period

-5.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,757.59
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$8,213.99
Period Start

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,783
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,213.99
Current Value
$7,757.59
Period P&L
$-456.40
Max Drawdown
-39.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
11 / 19
Best Trade
+4.64%
Worst Trade
-4.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$491,560.81
Estimated Fees
$1,228.90
Gross P&L
$-456.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,685.30
Gross Return
-5.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.52%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $8,213.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:35am ET $15.66 524 $8,205.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET $15.40 524 $8,069.60 $8,077.75 $-136.24
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET $14.80 545 $8,066.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $14.36 545 $7,826.20 $7,837.95 $-239.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $14.47 541 $7,828.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:20am ET $14.28 541 $7,725.48 $7,735.16 $-102.79
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 12:20pm ET $13.39 577 $7,726.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $13.25 577 $7,645.25 $7,654.38 $-80.78
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:30am ET $13.58 563 $7,645.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $13.89 563 $7,820.07 $7,828.91 +$174.53
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:20am ET $14.11 554 $7,816.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:45pm ET $14.44 554 $7,999.76 $8,011.73 +$182.82
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $13.38 598 $8,001.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:45am ET $13.67 598 $8,174.66 $8,185.15 +$173.42
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:10pm ET $14.40 568 $8,179.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $14.71 568 $8,355.28 $8,361.23 +$176.08
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $14.86 562 $8,351.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:45am ET $14.71 562 $8,267.02 $8,276.93 $-84.30
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET $13.82 598 $8,264.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:00am ET $13.60 598 $8,132.80 $8,145.37 $-131.56
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET $13.73 593 $8,141.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET $14.06 593 $8,337.58 $8,341.06 +$195.69
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $13.36 624 $8,336.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET $13.22 624 $8,249.28 $8,253.70 $-87.36
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:50am ET $12.34 668 $8,243.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $12.20 668 $8,149.60 $8,160.18 $-93.52
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:10am ET $12.55 650 $8,157.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $12.42 650 $8,073.00 $8,075.68 $-84.50
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET $12.33 654 $8,063.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET $12.19 654 $7,972.26 $7,984.12 $-91.56
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $12.15 657 $7,982.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:00am ET $11.97 657 $7,864.29 $7,865.86 $-118.26
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $13.50 582 $7,857.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $14.13 582 $8,221.33 $8,230.19 +$364.33
(+4.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $14.30 575 $8,224.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $14.63 575 $8,412.25 $8,417.64 +$187.45
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $13.84 608 $8,414.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $13.68 608 $8,319.26 $8,322.18 $-95.46
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $13.87 600 $8,322.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET $14.16 600 $8,496.00 $8,496.18 +$174.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:25am ET $13.75 617 $8,483.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET $14.03 617 $8,656.51 $8,668.94 +$172.76
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:30am ET $14.17 611 $8,657.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET $14.47 611 $8,841.17 $8,852.24 +$183.30
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET $14.80 598 $8,850.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $14.62 598 $8,742.76 $8,744.60 $-107.64
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $12.42 704 $8,743.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $12.18 704 $8,574.72 $8,575.64 $-168.96
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:35am ET $12.29 697 $8,566.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $12.13 697 $8,454.61 $8,464.12 $-111.52
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET $11.89 711 $8,453.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $11.71 711 $8,325.81 $8,336.14 $-127.98
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET $11.81 705 $8,326.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $11.64 705 $8,206.20 $8,216.29 $-119.85
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $10.21 804 $8,208.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $9.77 804 $7,855.08 $7,862.53 $-353.76
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $9.11 863 $7,861.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET $9.31 863 $8,034.53 $8,035.13 +$172.60
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $9.06 886 $8,027.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $8.75 886 $7,749.84 $7,757.59 $-277.54
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,757.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,242.41
Total Return: -22.42%
Back to Orion Breakout