Compendium › Orion Breakout › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Orion Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 31 trades in period

+13.15%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,936.73
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$7,897.91
Period Start

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,483
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,897.91
Current Value
$8,936.73
Period P&L
$1,038.82
Max Drawdown
-44.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
16 / 15
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$520,619.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,038.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,038.82
Gross Return
+13.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $7,897.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET $24.69 319 $7,874.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $24.42 319 $7,789.98 $7,813.38 $-84.53
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET $24.79 315 $7,808.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET $24.50 315 $7,716.52 $7,721.37 $-92.01
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $23.33 330 $7,698.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $23.84 330 $7,867.20 $7,889.67 +$168.30
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $24.13 326 $7,866.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 12:45pm ET $24.50 326 $7,987.00 $8,010.29 +$120.62
(+1.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET $24.70 324 $8,001.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:55pm ET $25.21 324 $8,168.04 $8,177.15 +$166.86
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $25.25 323 $8,154.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $24.96 323 $8,060.47 $8,083.48 $-93.67
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET $25.36 318 $8,064.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:50pm ET $25.87 318 $8,226.66 $8,245.66 +$162.18
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET $24.42 337 $8,227.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET $24.10 337 $8,121.70 $8,139.51 $-106.15
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $25.17 323 $8,129.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $24.79 323 $8,007.17 $8,016.77 $-122.74
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:25am ET $25.64 312 $7,999.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:05am ET $26.22 312 $8,180.64 $8,197.73 +$180.96
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET $26.70 307 $8,197.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:40pm ET $27.34 307 $8,391.85 $8,392.37 +$194.64
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $27.95 300 $8,385.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET $27.67 300 $8,299.50 $8,306.87 $-85.50
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:40am ET $28.65 289 $8,279.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $29.24 289 $8,450.36 $8,477.38 +$170.51
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 12:20pm ET $29.43 288 $8,475.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:25pm ET $30.09 288 $8,665.92 $8,667.46 +$190.08
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:35am ET $31.90 271 $8,643.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:50pm ET $31.44 271 $8,520.24 $8,544.15 $-123.31
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:00am ET $32.24 265 $8,543.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET $32.90 265 $8,718.50 $8,719.05 +$174.90
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:30am ET $35.24 247 $8,704.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $33.78 247 $8,343.66 $8,358.43 $-360.62
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET $31.25 267 $8,344.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:35am ET $30.92 267 $8,255.64 $8,270.05 $-88.38
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET $34.97 236 $8,252.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET $35.74 236 $8,433.46 $8,450.59 +$180.54
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $35.90 235 $8,436.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $36.89 235 $8,670.23 $8,684.32 +$233.73
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET $34.79 249 $8,662.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $34.38 249 $8,560.62 $8,582.23 $-102.09
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET $37.14 231 $8,579.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET $37.90 231 $8,754.90 $8,757.79 +$175.56
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET $41.82 209 $8,740.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET $41.17 209 $8,604.53 $8,621.90 $-135.89
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:10am ET $42.20 204 $8,608.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET $41.56 204 $8,478.24 $8,491.54 $-130.36
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $46.25 183 $8,463.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $47.19 183 $8,635.77 $8,663.56 +$172.02
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $53.83 160 $8,612.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:10am ET $54.92 160 $8,787.20 $8,837.96 +$174.40
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $47.50 186 $8,835.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $46.90 186 $8,723.40 $8,726.36 $-111.60
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:20am ET $43.56 200 $8,711.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.77 200 $8,954.00 $8,969.36 +$243.00
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $43.36 206 $8,932.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $42.87 206 $8,830.19 $8,866.88 $-102.48
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $41.69 212 $8,838.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $41.17 212 $8,728.04 $8,756.64 $-110.24
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $43.81 199 $8,717.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET $44.71 199 $8,897.29 $8,936.73 +$180.09
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,936.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,063.27
Total Return: -10.63%
Back to Orion Breakout