AXP Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+8.60%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,684.59
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$8,917.75
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,660
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
135 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,917.75
Current Value
$9,684.59
Period P&L
$766.84
Max Drawdown
-15.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
20 /
17
Best Trade
+2.47%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$691,132.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$766.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$766.84
Gross Return
+8.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.60%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 135 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $8,917.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $306.76 | 29 | $8,896.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 11:50am ET | $305.43 | 29 | $8,857.47 | $8,879.18 |
$-38.57 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.02 | 28 | $8,848.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $318.27 | 28 | $8,911.56 | $8,942.18 |
+$63.00 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 11:45am ET | $318.06 | 28 | $8,905.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 12:15pm ET | $322.47 | 28 | $9,029.16 | $9,065.66 |
+$123.48 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 12:05pm ET | $326.55 | 27 | $8,816.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 12:35pm ET | $331.30 | 27 | $8,945.10 | $9,193.91 |
+$128.25 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 2:50pm ET | $329.34 | 27 | $8,892.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $325.56 | 27 | $8,790.12 | $9,091.85 |
$-102.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $327.73 | 27 | $8,848.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 12:00pm ET | $326.17 | 27 | $8,806.46 | $9,049.60 |
$-42.25 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 11:20am ET | $328.31 | 27 | $8,864.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 11:05am ET | $324.92 | 27 | $8,772.71 | $8,958.07 |
$-91.53 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 12:10pm ET | $340.64 | 26 | $8,856.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $343.48 | 26 | $8,930.48 | $9,031.91 |
+$73.84 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $344.49 | 26 | $8,956.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:40am ET | $345.17 | 26 | $8,974.42 | $9,049.59 |
+$17.68 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:45am ET | $340.23 | 26 | $8,845.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 11:15am ET | $341.20 | 26 | $8,871.20 | $9,074.81 |
+$25.22 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $324.36 | 27 | $8,757.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $330.97 | 27 | $8,936.19 | $9,253.34 |
+$178.53 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $331.31 | 27 | $8,945.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $333.24 | 27 | $8,997.41 | $9,305.52 |
+$52.18 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 11:45am ET | $342.03 | 27 | $9,234.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $346.46 | 27 | $9,354.29 | $9,424.95 |
+$119.43 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $356.07 | 26 | $9,257.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 12:00pm ET | $352.46 | 26 | $9,163.83 | $9,330.96 |
$-93.99 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $355.80 | 26 | $9,250.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 2:05pm ET | $360.04 | 26 | $9,361.04 | $9,441.20 |
+$110.24 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $365.07 | 25 | $9,126.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 2:05pm ET | $361.37 | 25 | $9,034.25 | $9,348.83 |
$-92.37 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:50am ET | $363.39 | 25 | $9,084.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 12:20pm ET | $363.21 | 25 | $9,080.25 | $9,344.33 |
$-4.50 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET | $367.78 | 25 | $9,194.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $363.90 | 25 | $9,097.50 | $9,247.33 |
$-97.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:00am ET | $371.07 | 24 | $8,905.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:30am ET | $374.20 | 24 | $8,980.80 | $9,322.57 |
+$75.24 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $341.31 | 27 | $9,215.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:25pm ET | $343.74 | 27 | $9,280.98 | $9,388.18 |
+$65.61 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $345.11 | 27 | $9,317.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $352.24 | 27 | $9,510.48 | $9,580.83 |
+$192.65 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET | $350.95 | 27 | $9,475.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:55am ET | $353.76 | 27 | $9,551.44 | $9,656.62 |
+$75.79 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET | $356.08 | 27 | $9,614.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:00pm ET | $363.39 | 27 | $9,811.53 | $9,853.99 |
+$197.37 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:05pm ET | $363.54 | 27 | $9,815.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:35pm ET | $366.07 | 27 | $9,883.76 | $9,922.10 |
+$68.11 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 12:20pm ET | $368.00 | 26 | $9,568.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:50pm ET | $372.60 | 26 | $9,687.60 | $10,041.70 |
+$119.60 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET | $367.52 | 27 | $9,923.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:35pm ET | $363.48 | 27 | $9,813.96 | $9,932.62 |
$-109.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $372.17 | 26 | $9,676.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $380.67 | 26 | $9,897.37 | $10,153.57 |
+$220.95 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:15pm ET | $385.53 | 26 | $10,023.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:05am ET | $381.52 | 26 | $9,919.52 | $10,049.31 |
$-104.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:30pm ET | $384.37 | 26 | $9,993.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $382.39 | 26 | $9,942.14 | $9,997.76 |
$-51.55 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $372.45 | 26 | $9,683.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $381.22 | 26 | $9,911.76 | $10,225.82 |
+$228.06 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $382.52 | 26 | $9,945.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $377.91 | 26 | $9,825.66 | $10,105.96 |
$-119.86 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $383.15 | 26 | $9,961.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $378.39 | 26 | $9,838.14 | $9,982.20 |
$-123.76 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $381.87 | 26 | $9,928.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $377.65 | 26 | $9,818.90 | $9,872.61 |
$-109.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $365.38 | 27 | $9,865.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $358.11 | 27 | $9,668.97 | $9,676.32 |
$-196.29 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $360.38 | 26 | $9,369.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $369.28 | 26 | $9,601.28 | $9,907.82 |
+$231.50 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $354.64 | 27 | $9,575.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $350.33 | 27 | $9,458.91 | $9,791.58 |
$-116.24 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $360.74 | 27 | $9,739.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $356.77 | 27 | $9,632.92 | $9,684.59 |
$-106.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,684.59
Net Profit/Loss:
$-315.41
Total Return:
-3.15%