ETHUSD Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 50 trades in period
-15.68%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,042.04
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$10,722.88
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,300
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,722.88
Current Value
$9,042.04
Period P&L
$-1,680.84
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
14 /
36
Best Trade
+4.59%
Worst Trade
-6.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$835,220.70
Estimated Fees
$2,088.05
Gross P&L
$-1,680.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,768.89
Gross Return
-15.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.15%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $10,722.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $4,687.70 | 2 | $9,375.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 11:15am ET | $4,633.30 | 2 | $9,266.60 | $10,614.08 |
$-108.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $4,270.41 | 2 | $8,540.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $4,264.36 | 2 | $8,528.72 | $10,601.98 |
$-12.10 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,440.30 | 2 | $8,880.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:10am ET | $4,603.50 | 2 | $9,207.00 | $10,928.38 |
+$326.40 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $4,553.87 | 2 | $9,107.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $4,502.05 | 2 | $9,004.10 | $10,824.74 |
$-103.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:40am ET | $4,479.29 | 2 | $8,958.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,355.45 | 2 | $8,710.90 | $10,577.06 |
$-247.68 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $4,374.23 | 2 | $8,748.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $4,329.29 | 2 | $8,658.58 | $10,487.18 |
$-89.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $4,568.43 | 2 | $9,136.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 3:50pm ET | $4,667.03 | 2 | $9,334.06 | $10,684.38 |
+$197.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 12:40pm ET | $4,632.41 | 2 | $9,264.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,541.05 | 2 | $9,082.10 | $10,501.66 |
$-182.72 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $4,014.09 | 2 | $8,028.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,179.05 | 2 | $8,358.10 | $10,831.58 |
+$329.92 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $4,329.10 | 2 | $8,658.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,420.49 | 2 | $8,840.98 | $11,014.36 |
+$182.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 12:00pm ET | $4,447.30 | 2 | $8,894.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 11:55am ET | $4,539.09 | 2 | $9,078.18 | $11,197.94 |
+$183.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 12:00pm ET | $4,544.41 | 2 | $9,088.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $4,490.89 | 2 | $8,981.78 | $11,090.90 |
$-107.04 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $4,674.06 | 2 | $9,348.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $4,625.95 | 2 | $9,251.90 | $10,994.68 |
$-96.22 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,513.01 | 2 | $9,026.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $4,458.01 | 2 | $8,916.02 | $10,884.68 |
$-110.00 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:55pm ET | $4,239.00 | 2 | $8,478.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $3,961.22 | 2 | $7,922.44 | $10,329.12 |
$-555.56 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:15am ET | $4,004.92 | 2 | $8,009.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $3,963.16 | 2 | $7,926.32 | $10,245.60 |
$-83.52 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $3,834.38 | 2 | $7,668.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 12:30pm ET | $3,795.29 | 2 | $7,590.58 | $10,167.42 |
$-78.18 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $3,928.41 | 2 | $7,856.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:55am ET | $4,023.38 | 2 | $8,046.76 | $10,357.36 |
+$189.94 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 12:45pm ET | $3,889.31 | 2 | $7,778.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:00pm ET | $3,847.32 | 2 | $7,694.64 | $10,273.38 |
$-83.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 12:35pm ET | $4,213.48 | 2 | $8,426.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $4,155.76 | 2 | $8,311.52 | $10,157.94 |
$-115.44 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 3:30pm ET | $3,897.90 | 2 | $7,795.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $3,712.97 | 2 | $7,425.94 | $9,788.08 |
$-369.86 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $3,583.10 | 2 | $7,166.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $3,529.10 | 2 | $7,058.20 | $9,680.08 |
$-108.00 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $3,381.73 | 2 | $6,763.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 1:30pm ET | $3,449.50 | 2 | $6,899.00 | $9,815.62 |
+$135.54 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET | $3,323.02 | 2 | $6,646.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 1:05pm ET | $3,392.00 | 2 | $6,784.00 | $9,953.58 |
+$137.96 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:30am ET | $3,240.82 | 3 | $9,722.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 12:40pm ET | $3,204.46 | 3 | $9,613.38 | $9,844.50 |
$-109.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $3,115.60 | 3 | $9,346.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $3,069.70 | 3 | $9,209.10 | $9,706.80 |
$-137.70 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:20pm ET | $2,803.10 | 3 | $8,409.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $2,764.40 | 3 | $8,293.20 | $9,590.70 |
$-116.10 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET | $2,867.30 | 3 | $8,601.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $2,927.65 | 3 | $8,782.95 | $9,771.75 |
+$181.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:10pm ET | $2,947.20 | 3 | $8,841.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $2,908.79 | 3 | $8,726.37 | $9,656.52 |
$-115.23 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $2,955.59 | 3 | $8,866.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $3,020.90 | 3 | $9,062.70 | $9,852.45 |
+$195.93 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $3,220.01 | 3 | $9,660.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:35am ET | $3,184.79 | 3 | $9,554.37 | $9,746.79 |
$-105.66 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $3,145.16 | 3 | $9,435.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:55am ET | $3,106.66 | 3 | $9,319.98 | $9,631.29 |
$-115.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $3,142.60 | 3 | $9,427.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $3,217.40 | 3 | $9,652.20 | $9,855.69 |
+$224.40 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:40pm ET | $3,232.72 | 3 | $9,698.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:05pm ET | $3,195.18 | 3 | $9,585.54 | $9,743.07 |
$-112.62 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $3,015.00 | 3 | $9,045.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $2,976.99 | 3 | $8,930.97 | $9,629.04 |
$-114.03 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:40pm ET | $2,978.50 | 3 | $8,935.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $2,913.40 | 3 | $8,740.20 | $9,433.74 |
$-195.30 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $2,949.60 | 3 | $8,848.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $2,911.78 | 3 | $8,735.34 | $9,320.28 |
$-113.46 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $3,136.63 | 2 | $6,273.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $3,103.42 | 2 | $6,206.84 | $9,253.86 |
$-66.42 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $3,189.60 | 2 | $6,379.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $3,257.50 | 2 | $6,515.00 | $9,389.66 |
+$135.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $3,101.13 | 3 | $9,303.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $3,066.71 | 3 | $9,200.13 | $9,286.40 |
$-103.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $3,126.90 | 2 | $6,253.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $3,094.56 | 2 | $6,189.12 | $9,221.72 |
$-64.68 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $3,131.81 | 2 | $6,263.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $3,091.50 | 2 | $6,183.00 | $9,141.10 |
$-80.62 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $3,182.76 | 2 | $6,365.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $3,328.80 | 2 | $6,657.60 | $9,433.18 |
+$292.08 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $3,374.50 | 2 | $6,749.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $3,338.60 | 2 | $6,677.20 | $9,361.38 |
$-71.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $3,020.20 | 3 | $9,060.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $2,986.22 | 3 | $8,958.66 | $9,259.44 |
$-101.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $2,963.40 | 3 | $8,890.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $2,933.67 | 3 | $8,801.01 | $9,170.25 |
$-89.19 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $2,962.62 | 3 | $8,887.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $2,918.73 | 3 | $8,756.19 | $9,038.58 |
$-131.67 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $2,387.00 | 3 | $7,161.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $2,358.16 | 3 | $7,074.48 | $8,952.06 |
$-86.52 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $2,032.17 | 4 | $8,128.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $2,081.10 | 4 | $8,324.40 | $9,147.78 |
+$195.72 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $2,061.83 | 4 | $8,247.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $2,035.40 | 4 | $8,141.58 | $9,042.04 |
$-105.74 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,042.04
Net Profit/Loss:
$-957.96
Total Return:
-9.58%