IBM Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 40 trades in period
-14.32%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,422.13
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,996.53
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,355
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
140 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,996.53
Current Value
$9,422.13
Period P&L
$-1,574.40
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
15 /
25
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-5.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$830,922.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,574.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,574.40
Gross Return
-14.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 140 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $10,996.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 10:05am ET | $240.39 | 45 | $10,817.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $237.75 | 45 | $10,698.67 | $10,863.70 |
$-118.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 11:45am ET | $239.92 | 45 | $10,796.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $239.92 | 45 | $10,796.40 | $10,863.70 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $242.32 | 44 | $10,662.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $240.70 | 44 | $10,590.69 | $10,792.31 |
$-71.39 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $243.21 | 44 | $10,701.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $240.55 | 44 | $10,584.20 | $10,675.27 |
$-117.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 11:15am ET | $245.24 | 43 | $10,545.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 11:45am ET | $244.93 | 43 | $10,531.78 | $10,661.73 |
$-13.54 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 1:10pm ET | $242.68 | 43 | $10,435.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $247.56 | 43 | $10,645.08 | $10,871.57 |
+$209.84 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $247.35 | 43 | $10,636.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 11:55am ET | $246.04 | 43 | $10,579.72 | $10,815.24 |
$-56.33 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $252.37 | 42 | $10,599.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 11:30am ET | $257.47 | 42 | $10,813.53 | $11,029.23 |
+$213.99 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $259.08 | 42 | $10,881.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 1:20pm ET | $256.42 | 42 | $10,769.64 | $10,917.51 |
$-111.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 10:25am ET | $258.96 | 42 | $10,876.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $255.62 | 42 | $10,736.04 | $10,777.23 |
$-140.28 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $262.35 | 41 | $10,756.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $265.01 | 41 | $10,865.52 | $10,886.61 |
+$109.38 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 3:10pm ET | $271.79 | 40 | $10,871.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:40pm ET | $272.02 | 40 | $10,880.80 | $10,895.81 |
+$9.20 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $280.69 | 38 | $10,666.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $286.80 | 38 | $10,898.40 | $11,127.99 |
+$232.18 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:20am ET | $284.52 | 39 | $11,096.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $281.66 | 39 | $10,984.55 | $11,016.25 |
$-111.74 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $286.44 | 38 | $10,884.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:35am ET | $283.26 | 38 | $10,763.88 | $10,895.41 |
$-120.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 2:05pm ET | $280.53 | 38 | $10,660.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 2:35pm ET | $282.95 | 38 | $10,752.10 | $10,987.37 |
+$91.96 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 12:35pm ET | $285.15 | 38 | $10,835.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 3:45pm ET | $282.17 | 38 | $10,722.46 | $10,874.13 |
$-113.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 3:40pm ET | $288.51 | 37 | $10,674.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $276.45 | 37 | $10,228.65 | $10,427.91 |
$-446.22 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:15am ET | $279.57 | 37 | $10,344.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $285.45 | 37 | $10,561.65 | $10,645.56 |
+$217.65 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $298.34 | 35 | $10,441.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 11:35am ET | $304.75 | 35 | $10,666.25 | $10,870.09 |
+$224.53 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $317.19 | 34 | $10,784.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:50pm ET | $313.60 | 34 | $10,662.40 | $10,748.03 |
$-122.06 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 1:40pm ET | $310.32 | 34 | $10,550.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $306.19 | 34 | $10,410.46 | $10,607.61 |
$-140.42 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $305.70 | 34 | $10,393.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $302.22 | 34 | $10,275.48 | $10,489.29 |
$-118.32 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $300.28 | 34 | $10,209.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $296.22 | 34 | $10,071.48 | $10,351.25 |
$-138.04 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $298.02 | 34 | $10,132.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:50am ET | $304.19 | 34 | $10,342.29 | $10,561.03 |
+$209.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET | $304.29 | 34 | $10,345.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $300.89 | 34 | $10,230.09 | $10,445.26 |
$-115.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:15am ET | $307.68 | 33 | $10,153.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $304.25 | 33 | $10,040.25 | $10,332.07 |
$-113.19 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $306.01 | 33 | $10,098.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $309.61 | 33 | $10,217.13 | $10,450.87 |
+$118.80 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $312.35 | 33 | $10,307.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:30pm ET | $309.99 | 33 | $10,229.51 | $10,372.82 |
$-78.05 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $304.98 | 34 | $10,369.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $301.70 | 34 | $10,257.80 | $10,261.30 |
$-111.52 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $304.51 | 33 | $10,048.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $304.56 | 33 | $10,050.48 | $10,262.95 |
+$1.65 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $300.51 | 34 | $10,217.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $297.71 | 34 | $10,122.05 | $10,167.83 |
$-95.12 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $301.47 | 33 | $9,948.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $304.76 | 33 | $10,056.92 | $10,276.23 |
+$108.40 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $304.73 | 33 | $10,055.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $311.31 | 33 | $10,273.23 | $10,493.53 |
+$217.30 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $308.04 | 34 | $10,473.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $304.38 | 34 | $10,348.75 | $10,368.92 |
$-124.61 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $307.40 | 33 | $10,144.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $295.18 | 33 | $9,740.94 | $9,965.66 |
$-403.26 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $314.13 | 31 | $9,738.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $296.99 | 31 | $9,206.69 | $9,434.32 |
$-531.34 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $291.67 | 32 | $9,333.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $297.53 | 32 | $9,520.96 | $9,621.84 |
+$187.52 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $297.76 | 32 | $9,528.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $294.44 | 32 | $9,422.08 | $9,515.60 |
$-106.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $297.60 | 31 | $9,225.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $294.58 | 31 | $9,132.13 | $9,422.13 |
$-93.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,422.13
Net Profit/Loss:
$-577.87
Total Return:
-5.78%