LLY Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 39 trades in period
+8.50%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,217.61
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$10,338.57
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,338.57
Current Value
$11,217.61
Period P&L
$879.04
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
19 /
20
Best Trade
+2.89%
Worst Trade
-6.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$855,978.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$879.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$879.04
Gross Return
+8.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $10,338.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 12:10pm ET | $661.40 | 15 | $9,920.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 11:15am ET | $676.40 | 15 | $10,146.01 | $10,511.23 |
+$225.08 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 11:20am ET | $674.37 | 15 | $10,115.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $690.22 | 15 | $10,353.30 | $10,748.98 |
+$237.75 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 1:25pm ET | $705.17 | 15 | $10,577.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 1:55pm ET | $700.31 | 15 | $10,504.70 | $10,676.20 |
$-72.78 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $713.30 | 14 | $9,986.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 1:50pm ET | $705.20 | 14 | $9,872.86 | $10,562.86 |
$-113.34 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:45pm ET | $734.65 | 14 | $10,285.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 10:15am ET | $732.23 | 14 | $10,251.22 | $10,528.98 |
$-33.88 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $734.22 | 14 | $10,279.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 10:20am ET | $749.44 | 14 | $10,492.16 | $10,742.06 |
+$213.08 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $750.94 | 14 | $10,513.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $750.24 | 14 | $10,503.36 | $10,732.26 |
$-9.80 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 3:40pm ET | $754.04 | 14 | $10,556.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $751.94 | 14 | $10,527.16 | $10,702.93 |
$-29.33 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 11:15am ET | $758.61 | 14 | $10,620.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $773.90 | 14 | $10,834.60 | $10,916.99 |
+$214.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $775.98 | 14 | $10,863.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 12:10pm ET | $767.56 | 14 | $10,745.81 | $10,799.08 |
$-117.91 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:50am ET | $759.74 | 14 | $10,636.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $748.14 | 14 | $10,473.89 | $10,636.61 |
$-162.47 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $743.05 | 14 | $10,402.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $759.15 | 14 | $10,628.03 | $10,861.94 |
+$225.33 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:40am ET | $802.29 | 13 | $10,429.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 12:55pm ET | $820.22 | 13 | $10,662.86 | $11,094.97 |
+$233.03 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $832.89 | 13 | $10,827.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $850.00 | 13 | $11,050.00 | $11,317.42 |
+$222.45 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $824.01 | 13 | $10,712.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:05am ET | $828.66 | 13 | $10,772.58 | $11,377.93 |
+$60.51 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 11:15am ET | $809.85 | 14 | $11,337.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 11:45am ET | $819.73 | 14 | $11,476.22 | $11,516.25 |
+$138.32 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $830.77 | 13 | $10,800.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $815.43 | 13 | $10,600.59 | $11,316.83 |
$-199.42 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:55am ET | $845.75 | 13 | $10,994.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:25am ET | $850.96 | 13 | $11,062.42 | $11,384.50 |
+$67.67 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $852.69 | 13 | $11,084.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $877.35 | 13 | $11,405.55 | $11,705.08 |
+$320.58 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 12:15pm ET | $890.70 | 13 | $11,579.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $913.33 | 13 | $11,873.28 | $11,999.26 |
+$294.18 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $911.34 | 13 | $11,847.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $898.21 | 13 | $11,676.73 | $11,828.61 |
$-170.65 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $944.20 | 12 | $11,330.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 2:50pm ET | $932.20 | 12 | $11,186.40 | $11,684.61 |
$-144.00 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $939.00 | 12 | $11,268.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 12:15pm ET | $925.10 | 12 | $11,101.20 | $11,517.81 |
$-166.80 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:00am ET | $987.21 | 11 | $10,859.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $1,012.45 | 11 | $11,136.95 | $11,795.45 |
+$277.64 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $1,031.05 | 11 | $11,341.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $1,013.98 | 11 | $11,153.73 | $11,607.63 |
$-187.82 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $1,030.02 | 11 | $11,330.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:10pm ET | $1,019.68 | 11 | $11,216.48 | $11,493.89 |
$-113.74 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $1,052.39 | 10 | $10,523.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $1,041.66 | 10 | $10,416.60 | $11,386.59 |
$-107.30 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:10pm ET | $1,103.10 | 10 | $11,031.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $1,103.82 | 10 | $11,038.20 | $11,393.79 |
+$7.20 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET | $998.86 | 11 | $10,987.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $1,024.24 | 11 | $11,266.65 | $11,673.03 |
+$279.24 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $1,025.99 | 11 | $11,285.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET | $1,015.34 | 11 | $11,168.74 | $11,555.88 |
$-117.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $1,024.27 | 11 | $11,266.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $1,051.65 | 11 | $11,568.15 | $11,857.06 |
+$301.18 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,070.47 | 11 | $11,775.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,057.86 | 11 | $11,636.41 | $11,718.35 |
$-138.71 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,076.58 | 10 | $10,765.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1,080.64 | 10 | $10,806.40 | $11,758.95 |
+$40.60 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,044.55 | 11 | $11,490.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,032.56 | 11 | $11,358.11 | $11,627.01 |
$-131.94 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,043.25 | 11 | $11,475.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,069.14 | 11 | $11,760.54 | $11,911.80 |
+$284.79 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,075.10 | 11 | $11,826.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,087.71 | 11 | $11,964.81 | $12,050.51 |
+$138.71 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,090.75 | 11 | $11,998.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,078.54 | 11 | $11,863.89 | $11,916.20 |
$-134.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,044.64 | 11 | $11,490.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,042.54 | 11 | $11,467.94 | $11,893.16 |
$-23.04 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1,110.61 | 10 | $11,106.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,043.06 | 10 | $10,430.55 | $11,217.61 |
$-675.55 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,217.61
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,217.61
Total Return:
+12.18%