MRNA Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 54 trades in period
+24.55%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,936.73
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$7,175.23
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
18,642
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,175.23
Current Value
$8,936.73
Period P&L
$1,761.50
Max Drawdown
-44.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
27 /
27
Best Trade
+5.69%
Worst Trade
-5.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$863,090.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,761.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,761.50
Gross Return
+24.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.55%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $7,175.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $28.08 | 255 | $7,160.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 11:40am ET | $27.77 | 255 | $7,081.35 | $7,096.18 |
$-79.05 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $27.13 | 261 | $7,080.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $27.74 | 261 | $7,240.14 | $7,255.39 |
+$159.21 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 12:35pm ET | $25.56 | 283 | $7,233.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 12:40pm ET | $24.57 | 283 | $6,953.31 | $6,975.22 |
$-280.17 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 12:00pm ET | $23.99 | 290 | $6,955.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $25.22 | 290 | $7,312.35 | $7,331.92 |
+$356.70 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $25.30 | 289 | $7,311.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $24.01 | 289 | $6,937.45 | $6,957.66 |
$-374.26 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 10:15am ET | $25.32 | 274 | $6,937.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 10:55am ET | $24.99 | 274 | $6,847.26 | $6,867.24 |
$-90.42 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 11:50am ET | $24.93 | 275 | $6,855.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $25.43 | 275 | $6,993.58 | $7,005.07 |
+$137.83 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 11:40am ET | $25.09 | 279 | $6,998.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $25.72 | 279 | $7,175.04 | $7,181.40 |
+$176.33 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $25.99 | 276 | $7,171.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 10:45am ET | $26.68 | 276 | $7,363.68 | $7,373.22 |
+$191.82 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 1:25pm ET | $25.16 | 293 | $7,371.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:20am ET | $24.86 | 293 | $7,283.98 | $7,285.32 |
$-87.90 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 1:40pm ET | $25.28 | 288 | $7,280.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $25.82 | 288 | $7,434.72 | $7,439.40 |
+$154.08 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $27.53 | 270 | $7,431.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:50am ET | $28.13 | 270 | $7,595.10 | $7,602.72 |
+$163.32 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:35pm ET | $28.25 | 269 | $7,598.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 11:30am ET | $27.94 | 269 | $7,515.86 | $7,520.54 |
$-82.18 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $28.64 | 262 | $7,503.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $29.22 | 262 | $7,655.64 | $7,672.50 |
+$151.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $27.61 | 277 | $7,646.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $27.32 | 277 | $7,567.64 | $7,593.55 |
$-78.95 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:15am ET | $27.39 | 277 | $7,587.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:55am ET | $28.03 | 277 | $7,764.31 | $7,770.83 |
+$177.28 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $27.48 | 282 | $7,749.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 12:05pm ET | $27.17 | 282 | $7,662.73 | $7,684.20 |
$-86.63 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $26.80 | 286 | $7,664.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $26.52 | 286 | $7,583.29 | $7,602.69 |
$-81.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:10am ET | $25.28 | 300 | $7,584.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $26.72 | 300 | $8,016.03 | $8,033.91 |
+$431.22 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $25.09 | 320 | $8,027.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $24.76 | 320 | $7,923.20 | $7,929.91 |
$-104.00 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $24.19 | 327 | $7,910.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $23.91 | 327 | $7,817.26 | $7,837.04 |
$-92.87 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $25.31 | 309 | $7,820.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $25.87 | 309 | $7,992.29 | $8,008.54 |
+$171.50 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:40pm ET | $27.09 | 295 | $7,991.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $26.72 | 295 | $7,880.93 | $7,897.91 |
$-110.63 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $24.69 | 319 | $7,874.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 1:15pm ET | $24.42 | 319 | $7,789.98 | $7,813.38 |
$-84.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET | $24.79 | 315 | $7,808.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $24.50 | 315 | $7,716.52 | $7,721.37 |
$-92.01 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET | $23.33 | 330 | $7,698.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $23.84 | 330 | $7,867.20 | $7,889.67 |
+$168.30 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET | $24.13 | 326 | $7,866.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:45pm ET | $24.50 | 326 | $7,987.00 | $8,010.29 |
+$120.62 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET | $24.70 | 324 | $8,001.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 2:55pm ET | $25.21 | 324 | $8,168.04 | $8,177.15 |
+$166.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $25.25 | 323 | $8,154.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $24.96 | 323 | $8,060.47 | $8,083.48 |
$-93.67 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $25.36 | 318 | $8,064.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:50pm ET | $25.87 | 318 | $8,226.66 | $8,245.66 |
+$162.18 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $24.42 | 337 | $8,227.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $24.10 | 337 | $8,121.70 | $8,139.51 |
$-106.15 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $25.17 | 323 | $8,129.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $24.79 | 323 | $8,007.17 | $8,016.77 |
$-122.74 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $25.64 | 312 | $7,999.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $26.22 | 312 | $8,180.64 | $8,197.73 |
+$180.96 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $26.70 | 307 | $8,197.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:40pm ET | $27.34 | 307 | $8,391.85 | $8,392.37 |
+$194.64 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:45pm ET | $27.95 | 300 | $8,385.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET | $27.67 | 300 | $8,299.50 | $8,306.87 |
$-85.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:40am ET | $28.65 | 289 | $8,279.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.24 | 289 | $8,450.36 | $8,477.38 |
+$170.51 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 12:20pm ET | $29.43 | 288 | $8,475.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:25pm ET | $30.09 | 288 | $8,665.92 | $8,667.46 |
+$190.08 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:35am ET | $31.90 | 271 | $8,643.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:50pm ET | $31.44 | 271 | $8,520.24 | $8,544.15 |
$-123.31 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $32.24 | 265 | $8,543.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $32.90 | 265 | $8,718.50 | $8,719.05 |
+$174.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 11:30am ET | $35.24 | 247 | $8,704.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.78 | 247 | $8,343.66 | $8,358.43 |
$-360.62 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $31.25 | 267 | $8,344.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $30.92 | 267 | $8,255.64 | $8,270.05 |
$-88.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $34.97 | 236 | $8,252.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $35.74 | 236 | $8,433.46 | $8,450.59 |
+$180.54 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $35.90 | 235 | $8,436.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $36.89 | 235 | $8,670.23 | $8,684.32 |
+$233.73 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $34.79 | 249 | $8,662.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $34.38 | 249 | $8,560.62 | $8,582.23 |
$-102.09 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $37.14 | 231 | $8,579.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $37.90 | 231 | $8,754.90 | $8,757.79 |
+$175.56 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $41.82 | 209 | $8,740.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $41.17 | 209 | $8,604.53 | $8,621.90 |
$-135.89 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $42.20 | 204 | $8,608.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $41.56 | 204 | $8,478.24 | $8,491.54 |
$-130.36 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $46.25 | 183 | $8,463.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $47.19 | 183 | $8,635.77 | $8,663.56 |
+$172.02 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $53.83 | 160 | $8,612.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.92 | 160 | $8,787.20 | $8,837.96 |
+$174.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $47.50 | 186 | $8,835.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $46.90 | 186 | $8,723.40 | $8,726.36 |
$-111.60 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $43.56 | 200 | $8,711.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.77 | 200 | $8,954.00 | $8,969.36 |
+$243.00 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $43.36 | 206 | $8,932.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $42.87 | 206 | $8,830.19 | $8,866.88 |
$-102.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $41.69 | 212 | $8,838.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $41.17 | 212 | $8,728.04 | $8,756.64 |
$-110.24 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $43.81 | 199 | $8,717.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $44.71 | 199 | $8,897.29 | $8,936.73 |
+$180.09 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,936.73
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,063.27
Total Return:
-10.63%