NIO Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 39 trades in period
+7.64%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,035.50
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$9,323.07
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,759
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,323.07
Current Value
$10,035.50
Period P&L
$712.43
Max Drawdown
-31.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
16 /
23
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-3.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
9.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$781,549.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$712.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$712.43
Gross Return
+7.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $9,323.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $5.05 | 1,847 | $9,318.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.18 | 1,847 | $9,567.46 | $9,572.42 |
+$249.35 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.47 | 1,751 | $9,569.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $5.62 | 1,751 | $9,831.87 | $9,835.07 |
+$262.65 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $6.16 | 1,597 | $9,829.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $6.28 | 1,597 | $10,029.00 | $10,034.54 |
+$199.47 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 11:25am ET | $6.46 | 1,554 | $10,031.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 11:45am ET | $6.39 | 1,554 | $9,922.29 | $9,925.76 |
$-108.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:15am ET | $6.22 | 1,597 | $9,925.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $6.14 | 1,597 | $9,805.42 | $9,805.83 |
$-119.93 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $6.03 | 1,625 | $9,801.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $5.97 | 1,625 | $9,701.74 | $9,705.73 |
$-100.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 12:50pm ET | $6.15 | 1,579 | $9,702.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 2:25pm ET | $6.28 | 1,579 | $9,908.23 | $9,911.00 |
+$205.27 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $6.69 | 1,481 | $9,907.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 12:35pm ET | $6.83 | 1,481 | $10,115.08 | $10,118.19 |
+$207.19 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 3:40pm ET | $7.41 | 1,365 | $10,114.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $7.41 | 1,365 | $10,118.20 | $10,121.74 |
+$3.55 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $7.14 | 1,417 | $10,117.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:30am ET | $7.07 | 1,417 | $10,011.11 | $10,015.61 |
$-106.13 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $7.21 | 1,388 | $10,010.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 12:15pm ET | $7.14 | 1,388 | $9,903.38 | $9,908.73 |
$-106.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $7.42 | 1,335 | $9,907.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $7.66 | 1,335 | $10,219.43 | $10,220.45 |
+$311.72 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 3:10pm ET | $7.84 | 1,303 | $10,215.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $7.56 | 1,303 | $9,849.77 | $9,854.70 |
$-365.75 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $7.21 | 1,367 | $9,849.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 11:45am ET | $7.12 | 1,367 | $9,733.18 | $9,738.64 |
$-116.06 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $6.73 | 1,447 | $9,738.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 1:25pm ET | $6.87 | 1,447 | $9,933.66 | $9,933.99 |
+$195.35 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $6.72 | 1,479 | $9,933.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $6.91 | 1,479 | $10,223.14 | $10,223.43 |
+$289.44 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $7.00 | 1,460 | $10,220.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $6.83 | 1,460 | $9,971.51 | $9,974.79 |
$-248.64 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $7.01 | 1,423 | $9,968.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 2:50pm ET | $6.93 | 1,423 | $9,861.39 | $9,868.06 |
$-106.73 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $7.11 | 1,387 | $9,861.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $7.26 | 1,387 | $10,062.69 | $10,069.17 |
+$201.11 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 10:15am ET | $7.31 | 1,376 | $10,063.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:30am ET | $7.22 | 1,376 | $9,934.72 | $9,940.65 |
$-128.52 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:05am ET | $7.10 | 1,400 | $9,935.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $7.26 | 1,400 | $10,157.00 | $10,162.41 |
+$221.76 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $7.31 | 1,389 | $10,157.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 2:35pm ET | $7.22 | 1,389 | $10,021.64 | $10,026.15 |
$-136.26 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:15pm ET | $6.18 | 1,622 | $10,023.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $6.12 | 1,622 | $9,918.53 | $9,920.72 |
$-105.43 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $5.61 | 1,769 | $9,918.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $5.80 | 1,769 | $10,260.20 | $10,262.84 |
+$342.12 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:50pm ET | $5.02 | 2,042 | $10,258.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:20pm ET | $5.06 | 2,042 | $10,332.52 | $10,336.56 |
+$73.72 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $5.23 | 1,977 | $10,333.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:05am ET | $5.16 | 1,977 | $10,191.44 | $10,194.81 |
$-141.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET | $5.08 | 2,006 | $10,190.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET | $5.03 | 2,006 | $10,080.15 | $10,084.48 |
$-110.33 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $5.06 | 1,993 | $10,080.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $4.96 | 1,993 | $9,875.32 | $9,879.80 |
$-204.68 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.03 | 1,966 | $9,879.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:30pm ET | $5.13 | 1,966 | $10,085.58 | $10,086.23 |
+$206.43 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET | $5.08 | 1,985 | $10,083.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:45am ET | $5.02 | 1,985 | $9,967.28 | $9,969.71 |
$-116.52 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $5.09 | 1,960 | $9,966.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $5.03 | 1,960 | $9,860.17 | $9,863.28 |
$-106.43 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:10pm ET | $5.33 | 1,852 | $9,861.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $5.69 | 1,852 | $10,545.47 | $10,546.85 |
+$683.57 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $5.78 | 1,824 | $10,542.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $5.71 | 1,824 | $10,418.14 | $10,422.27 |
$-124.58 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $4.88 | 2,135 | $10,418.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $4.82 | 2,135 | $10,296.25 | $10,299.72 |
$-122.55 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $4.67 | 2,205 | $10,297.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $4.62 | 2,205 | $10,187.10 | $10,189.47 |
$-110.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $4.65 | 2,193 | $10,188.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $4.59 | 2,193 | $10,065.87 | $10,066.66 |
$-122.81 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $4.87 | 2,067 | $10,066.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $4.82 | 2,067 | $9,965.01 | $9,965.38 |
$-101.28 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $4.95 | 2,011 | $9,964.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET | $5.05 | 2,011 | $10,165.60 | $10,166.48 |
+$201.10 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $5.05 | 2,015 | $10,165.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $4.98 | 2,015 | $10,034.70 | $10,035.50 |
$-130.98 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,035.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$35.50
Total Return:
+0.36%