NVDA Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 36 trades in period
-3.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,002.32
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$15,585.78
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,542
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,585.78
Current Value
$15,002.32
Period P&L
$-583.46
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
14 /
22
Best Trade
+4.38%
Worst Trade
-6.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
18.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,152,879.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-583.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-583.46
Gross Return
-3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $15,585.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $176.40 | 88 | $15,523.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $179.00 | 88 | $15,751.69 | $15,814.27 |
+$228.49 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:35am ET | $179.50 | 88 | $15,795.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $181.13 | 88 | $15,939.20 | $15,957.91 |
+$143.64 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 2:55pm ET | $182.19 | 87 | $15,850.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $180.36 | 87 | $15,691.32 | $15,799.10 |
$-158.81 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $170.76 | 92 | $15,709.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $177.36 | 92 | $16,317.12 | $16,406.44 |
+$607.34 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:45am ET | $177.93 | 92 | $16,369.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 11:00am ET | $176.08 | 92 | $16,199.75 | $16,237.09 |
$-169.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 11:15am ET | $176.30 | 92 | $16,219.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 11:45am ET | $176.26 | 92 | $16,215.93 | $16,233.42 |
$-3.67 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 12:00pm ET | $177.24 | 91 | $16,128.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:15pm ET | $181.00 | 91 | $16,470.55 | $16,575.58 |
+$342.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $176.71 | 93 | $16,434.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $176.31 | 93 | $16,396.83 | $16,538.38 |
$-37.20 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $184.69 | 89 | $16,437.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $187.18 | 89 | $16,659.02 | $16,759.99 |
+$221.61 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $187.34 | 89 | $16,673.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $189.46 | 89 | $16,861.94 | $16,948.67 |
+$188.68 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:40am ET | $195.45 | 86 | $16,808.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $191.92 | 86 | $16,505.12 | $16,645.52 |
$-303.15 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:20am ET | $183.40 | 90 | $16,506.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $181.25 | 90 | $16,312.50 | $16,452.02 |
$-193.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:20am ET | $184.35 | 89 | $16,407.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $180.47 | 89 | $16,061.39 | $16,106.26 |
$-345.76 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $182.62 | 88 | $16,070.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 2:05pm ET | $185.48 | 88 | $16,321.80 | $16,357.30 |
+$251.04 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:20pm ET | $187.22 | 87 | $16,288.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 11:10am ET | $191.13 | 87 | $16,628.32 | $16,697.42 |
+$340.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 1:40pm ET | $197.15 | 84 | $16,560.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:05pm ET | $201.57 | 84 | $16,931.96 | $17,068.78 |
+$371.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $210.99 | 80 | $16,878.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:00pm ET | $208.66 | 80 | $16,692.80 | $16,882.78 |
$-186.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $201.67 | 83 | $16,738.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:20pm ET | $199.39 | 83 | $16,549.37 | $16,693.54 |
$-189.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:50pm ET | $187.10 | 89 | $16,651.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $195.29 | 89 | $17,380.77 | $17,422.41 |
+$728.87 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $196.62 | 88 | $17,302.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $194.61 | 88 | $17,125.68 | $17,245.53 |
$-176.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $188.84 | 91 | $17,184.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $186.62 | 91 | $16,982.42 | $17,043.11 |
$-202.42 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $183.72 | 92 | $16,902.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:50pm ET | $181.16 | 92 | $16,666.71 | $16,807.58 |
$-235.53 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:20am ET | $181.97 | 92 | $16,741.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $169.90 | 92 | $15,630.76 | $15,697.11 |
$-1,110.47 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:20pm ET | $175.91 | 89 | $15,655.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET | $173.95 | 89 | $15,481.11 | $15,522.67 |
$-174.44 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $179.82 | 86 | $15,464.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $185.12 | 86 | $15,920.32 | $15,978.47 |
+$455.80 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET | $184.24 | 86 | $15,844.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $182.17 | 86 | $15,666.62 | $15,800.45 |
$-178.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $187.46 | 84 | $15,746.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $185.33 | 84 | $15,567.72 | $15,621.95 |
$-178.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $175.93 | 88 | $15,481.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $174.17 | 88 | $15,326.52 | $15,466.49 |
$-155.46 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:45am ET | $185.94 | 83 | $15,433.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $187.77 | 83 | $15,584.91 | $15,618.07 |
+$151.58 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $191.20 | 81 | $15,486.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $189.22 | 81 | $15,326.42 | $15,457.69 |
$-160.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $186.14 | 83 | $15,449.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.97 | 83 | $15,020.89 | $15,028.96 |
$-428.73 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $181.94 | 82 | $14,919.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $179.78 | 82 | $14,741.55 | $14,851.43 |
$-177.53 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $189.04 | 78 | $14,745.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $191.19 | 78 | $14,912.82 | $15,019.13 |
+$167.70 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $194.37 | 77 | $14,966.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $192.35 | 77 | $14,810.95 | $14,863.97 |
$-155.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $189.04 | 78 | $14,744.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $187.06 | 78 | $14,590.68 | $14,709.92 |
$-154.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $182.65 | 80 | $14,612.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $186.30 | 80 | $14,904.40 | $15,002.32 |
+$292.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,002.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,002.32
Total Return:
+50.02%