RIVN Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 51 trades in period
-1.71%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,484.81
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$7,614.86
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,772
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,614.86
Current Value
$7,484.81
Period P&L
$-130.04
Max Drawdown
-36.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
18 /
33
Best Trade
+2.66%
Worst Trade
-2.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$777,279.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-130.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-130.04
Gross Return
-1.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $7,614.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $12.11 | 621 | $7,517.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $11.96 | 621 | $7,424.06 | $7,425.45 |
$-93.15 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 1:55pm ET | $12.14 | 611 | $7,415.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 12:35pm ET | $12.44 | 611 | $7,603.47 | $7,613.45 |
+$188.00 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 12:40pm ET | $12.43 | 612 | $7,604.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 2:55pm ET | $12.30 | 612 | $7,527.60 | $7,536.95 |
$-76.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 11:30am ET | $12.45 | 605 | $7,529.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 1:35pm ET | $12.32 | 605 | $7,450.58 | $7,458.30 |
$-78.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $12.52 | 595 | $7,446.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET | $12.77 | 595 | $7,598.15 | $7,610.02 |
+$151.72 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 2:25pm ET | $13.47 | 565 | $7,609.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 11:35am ET | $13.33 | 565 | $7,528.63 | $7,529.62 |
$-80.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 1:25pm ET | $13.56 | 555 | $7,523.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 3:20pm ET | $13.85 | 555 | $7,683.98 | $7,690.57 |
+$160.95 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $14.49 | 530 | $7,681.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $14.33 | 530 | $7,592.25 | $7,601.42 |
$-89.15 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 12:55pm ET | $14.55 | 522 | $7,593.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 1:10pm ET | $14.40 | 522 | $7,517.22 | $7,524.74 |
$-76.68 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 1:45pm ET | $14.22 | 529 | $7,519.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $14.02 | 529 | $7,416.58 | $7,421.58 |
$-103.16 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 12:15pm ET | $14.30 | 519 | $7,419.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 2:40pm ET | $14.58 | 519 | $7,568.99 | $7,570.64 |
+$149.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:55am ET | $14.47 | 523 | $7,565.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $14.32 | 523 | $7,486.75 | $7,492.19 |
$-78.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $14.89 | 503 | $7,491.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 10:55am ET | $14.73 | 503 | $7,407.43 | $7,408.39 |
$-83.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 12:45pm ET | $15.58 | 475 | $7,401.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $15.41 | 475 | $7,317.38 | $7,324.36 |
$-84.03 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 11:05am ET | $15.74 | 465 | $7,319.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 1:20pm ET | $15.57 | 465 | $7,237.73 | $7,242.98 |
$-81.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 2:05pm ET | $13.11 | 552 | $7,233.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $12.80 | 552 | $7,066.98 | $7,076.00 |
$-166.98 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:00pm ET | $12.93 | 547 | $7,072.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 2:55pm ET | $13.19 | 547 | $7,214.93 | $7,218.27 |
+$142.27 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $13.58 | 531 | $7,208.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $13.43 | 531 | $7,128.68 | $7,138.62 |
$-79.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:15pm ET | $13.03 | 548 | $7,137.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $13.30 | 548 | $7,288.40 | $7,289.32 |
+$150.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 10:20am ET | $13.39 | 544 | $7,285.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 2:55pm ET | $13.25 | 544 | $7,208.00 | $7,211.91 |
$-77.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 10:40am ET | $13.07 | 551 | $7,199.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 12:20pm ET | $12.93 | 551 | $7,122.61 | $7,135.27 |
$-76.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:10am ET | $13.34 | 535 | $7,134.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:40pm ET | $13.61 | 535 | $7,278.68 | $7,279.72 |
+$144.45 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:55am ET | $13.16 | 553 | $7,274.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:35pm ET | $13.42 | 553 | $7,420.65 | $7,425.66 |
+$145.94 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $14.06 | 528 | $7,423.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $13.91 | 528 | $7,341.84 | $7,343.82 |
$-81.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $15.16 | 484 | $7,335.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $15.46 | 484 | $7,482.64 | $7,491.44 |
+$147.62 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $15.78 | 474 | $7,477.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $16.10 | 474 | $7,629.03 | $7,643.12 |
+$151.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $17.25 | 443 | $7,639.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $17.65 | 443 | $7,819.08 | $7,822.67 |
+$179.55 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $14.93 | 523 | $7,808.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:10pm ET | $15.23 | 523 | $7,965.29 | $7,979.57 |
+$156.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 3:35pm ET | $14.91 | 535 | $7,976.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $14.75 | 535 | $7,888.58 | $7,891.29 |
$-88.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:00pm ET | $15.01 | 525 | $7,881.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $14.84 | 525 | $7,791.00 | $7,800.46 |
$-90.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET | $15.49 | 503 | $7,788.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:15am ET | $15.90 | 503 | $7,996.04 | $8,007.55 |
+$207.09 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:55am ET | $16.09 | 497 | $7,994.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $16.47 | 497 | $8,183.11 | $8,196.41 |
+$188.86 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $17.63 | 465 | $8,195.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $17.38 | 465 | $8,079.38 | $8,080.16 |
$-116.25 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:10pm ET | $17.49 | 461 | $8,062.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $17.26 | 461 | $7,954.56 | $7,971.82 |
$-108.34 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $19.38 | 411 | $7,965.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $19.08 | 411 | $7,839.83 | $7,846.46 |
$-125.36 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 12:40pm ET | $19.27 | 407 | $7,840.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:20pm ET | $19.04 | 407 | $7,749.28 | $7,754.88 |
$-91.58 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:30pm ET | $19.32 | 401 | $7,745.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:05pm ET | $19.79 | 401 | $7,933.79 | $7,943.35 |
+$188.47 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $21.56 | 368 | $7,935.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:25am ET | $22.07 | 368 | $8,119.92 | $8,127.83 |
+$184.48 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $21.45 | 378 | $8,108.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $21.22 | 378 | $8,019.27 | $8,039.00 |
$-88.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 11:10am ET | $20.93 | 384 | $8,037.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET | $20.71 | 384 | $7,950.72 | $7,952.60 |
$-86.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $19.85 | 400 | $7,938.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:40pm ET | $19.64 | 400 | $7,857.84 | $7,872.44 |
$-80.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $19.84 | 396 | $7,856.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $19.64 | 396 | $7,775.46 | $7,791.22 |
$-81.22 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $19.66 | 396 | $7,785.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $20.14 | 396 | $7,973.46 | $7,979.32 |
+$188.10 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $20.84 | 382 | $7,960.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $20.61 | 382 | $7,873.02 | $7,891.46 |
$-87.86 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET | $19.37 | 407 | $7,883.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $19.17 | 407 | $7,802.19 | $7,810.06 |
$-81.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $16.52 | 472 | $7,795.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $16.32 | 472 | $7,700.68 | $7,715.66 |
$-94.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.51 | 497 | $7,705.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $15.30 | 497 | $7,604.10 | $7,613.77 |
$-101.89 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.59 | 521 | $7,602.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $14.41 | 521 | $7,510.21 | $7,521.03 |
$-92.74 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $14.20 | 529 | $7,511.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $14.48 | 529 | $7,662.56 | $7,671.79 |
+$150.76 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $14.91 | 514 | $7,666.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.70 | 514 | $7,558.37 | $7,563.85 |
$-107.94 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $15.28 | 494 | $7,550.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $15.13 | 494 | $7,471.75 | $7,484.81 |
$-79.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,484.81
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,515.19
Total Return:
-25.15%