SMCI Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 38 trades in period
+5.04%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,129.35
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$11,546.92
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,840
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,546.92
Current Value
$12,129.35
Period P&L
$582.43
Max Drawdown
-38.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
14 /
24
Best Trade
+8.77%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
12h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$876,886.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$582.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$582.43
Gross Return
+5.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $11,546.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $46.18 | 250 | $11,543.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $45.39 | 250 | $11,347.50 | $11,350.49 |
$-196.43 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $43.21 | 262 | $11,321.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.22 | 262 | $11,585.61 | $11,615.06 |
+$264.57 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:55am ET | $44.36 | 261 | $11,576.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $43.87 | 261 | $11,450.07 | $11,488.47 |
$-126.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 10:30am ET | $44.65 | 257 | $11,473.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $44.61 | 257 | $11,463.61 | $11,478.22 |
$-10.25 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 10:35am ET | $40.73 | 281 | $11,445.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 11:40am ET | $40.32 | 281 | $11,328.52 | $11,361.60 |
$-116.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $41.02 | 277 | $11,361.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 11:35am ET | $41.98 | 277 | $11,627.49 | $11,627.94 |
+$266.34 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 3:30pm ET | $45.75 | 254 | $11,620.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.72 | 254 | $11,359.13 | $11,366.57 |
$-261.37 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 12:25pm ET | $46.11 | 246 | $11,343.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 1:25pm ET | $45.56 | 246 | $11,207.76 | $11,231.27 |
$-135.30 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 12:20pm ET | $47.13 | 238 | $11,216.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:45pm ET | $48.15 | 238 | $11,460.79 | $11,475.12 |
+$243.85 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 11:10am ET | $45.44 | 252 | $11,450.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 2:55pm ET | $46.42 | 252 | $11,696.58 | $11,720.74 |
+$245.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:40am ET | $47.19 | 248 | $11,703.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 11:25am ET | $46.68 | 248 | $11,576.64 | $11,594.26 |
$-126.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 11:20am ET | $49.51 | 234 | $11,585.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 2:05pm ET | $50.52 | 234 | $11,820.51 | $11,829.13 |
+$234.87 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $56.43 | 209 | $11,793.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $57.65 | 209 | $12,048.75 | $12,084.01 |
+$254.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 11:10am ET | $56.07 | 215 | $12,055.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:25am ET | $55.38 | 215 | $11,905.63 | $11,934.58 |
$-149.43 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:35am ET | $53.16 | 224 | $11,907.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:40pm ET | $52.46 | 224 | $11,750.64 | $11,777.40 |
$-157.18 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:15am ET | $52.34 | 225 | $11,776.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 11:50am ET | $51.76 | 225 | $11,646.00 | $11,646.90 |
$-130.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $36.10 | 322 | $11,624.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $36.93 | 322 | $11,891.46 | $11,914.16 |
+$267.26 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $34.94 | 340 | $11,879.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $34.59 | 340 | $11,760.60 | $11,795.16 |
$-119.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET | $32.94 | 358 | $11,790.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $31.49 | 358 | $11,273.42 | $11,277.85 |
$-517.31 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $33.84 | 333 | $11,268.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.17 | 333 | $11,045.61 | $11,054.74 |
$-223.11 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:35pm ET | $33.63 | 328 | $11,029.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET | $33.19 | 328 | $10,886.32 | $10,912.06 |
$-142.68 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:05pm ET | $33.30 | 327 | $10,889.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:15am ET | $34.02 | 327 | $11,124.54 | $11,147.50 |
+$235.44 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $34.22 | 325 | $11,119.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $33.86 | 325 | $11,004.50 | $11,032.12 |
$-115.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.26 | 322 | $11,031.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET | $35.33 | 322 | $11,374.65 | $11,375.05 |
+$342.93 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $35.60 | 319 | $11,354.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $35.12 | 319 | $11,201.91 | $11,222.15 |
$-152.90 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 12:10pm ET | $30.38 | 369 | $11,210.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:20pm ET | $31.03 | 369 | $11,448.23 | $11,460.16 |
+$238.01 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $31.17 | 367 | $11,439.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $30.71 | 367 | $11,268.74 | $11,289.54 |
$-170.62 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $30.51 | 370 | $11,286.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $30.20 | 370 | $11,172.71 | $11,175.39 |
$-114.15 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $30.45 | 367 | $11,173.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $30.12 | 367 | $11,052.21 | $11,054.28 |
$-121.11 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $29.42 | 375 | $11,032.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $32.00 | 375 | $11,999.96 | $12,021.74 |
+$967.46 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $32.12 | 374 | $12,012.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $31.78 | 374 | $11,885.72 | $11,894.58 |
$-127.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $31.56 | 376 | $11,864.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $31.03 | 376 | $11,667.28 | $11,697.18 |
$-197.40 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $32.41 | 360 | $11,665.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $32.06 | 360 | $11,542.82 | $11,574.20 |
$-122.98 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $31.05 | 372 | $11,550.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $31.86 | 372 | $11,850.06 | $11,873.70 |
+$299.50 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $32.15 | 369 | $11,863.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $31.75 | 369 | $11,713.91 | $11,724.26 |
$-149.44 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $29.58 | 396 | $11,715.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $30.18 | 396 | $11,953.26 | $11,961.86 |
+$237.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $33.54 | 356 | $11,940.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $34.38 | 356 | $12,239.32 | $12,260.94 |
+$299.08 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $33.79 | 362 | $12,233.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $33.43 | 362 | $12,102.20 | $12,129.35 |
$-131.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,129.35
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,129.35
Total Return:
+21.29%