TQQQ Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 53 trades in period
+3.87%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,763.49
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$12,287.84
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,524
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,287.84
Current Value
$12,763.49
Period P&L
$475.65
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
26 /
27
Best Trade
+5.67%
Worst Trade
-4.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,344,709.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$475.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$475.65
Gross Return
+3.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $12,287.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $43.96 | 279 | $12,263.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $43.48 | 279 | $12,129.72 | $12,153.59 |
$-134.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.74 | 271 | $12,123.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 11:00am ET | $45.65 | 271 | $12,369.80 | $12,400.20 |
+$246.61 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:45am ET | $45.24 | 274 | $12,395.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 11:15am ET | $44.95 | 274 | $12,316.99 | $12,321.67 |
$-78.53 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:20pm ET | $45.19 | 272 | $12,290.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 3:50pm ET | $45.58 | 272 | $12,397.76 | $12,429.11 |
+$107.44 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $45.52 | 273 | $12,426.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 2:30pm ET | $46.44 | 273 | $12,677.44 | $12,679.59 |
+$250.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 2:50pm ET | $46.48 | 272 | $12,641.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.72 | 272 | $12,163.84 | $12,202.23 |
$-477.36 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $44.70 | 272 | $12,158.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 12:50pm ET | $44.24 | 272 | $12,033.28 | $12,077.11 |
$-125.12 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 1:50pm ET | $45.38 | 266 | $12,069.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $46.75 | 266 | $12,434.17 | $12,441.53 |
+$364.42 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 11:15am ET | $47.96 | 259 | $12,421.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $48.22 | 259 | $12,489.63 | $12,509.52 |
+$67.99 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 12:20pm ET | $48.37 | 258 | $12,478.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $49.35 | 258 | $12,731.09 | $12,761.90 |
+$252.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $49.62 | 257 | $12,752.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $49.09 | 257 | $12,616.77 | $12,626.33 |
$-135.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:15am ET | $50.91 | 248 | $12,625.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $50.87 | 248 | $12,616.58 | $12,617.23 |
$-9.10 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.56 | 244 | $12,580.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $51.98 | 244 | $12,684.24 | $12,721.44 |
+$104.21 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $50.07 | 254 | $12,716.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 1:45pm ET | $49.45 | 254 | $12,560.73 | $12,565.66 |
$-155.78 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $51.59 | 243 | $12,536.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $52.86 | 243 | $12,844.98 | $12,874.27 |
+$308.61 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $53.84 | 239 | $12,867.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 11:55am ET | $54.03 | 239 | $12,913.10 | $12,920.21 |
+$45.94 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 12:55pm ET | $51.75 | 249 | $12,885.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $49.65 | 249 | $12,362.85 | $12,397.78 |
$-522.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 10:20am ET | $50.18 | 247 | $12,393.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 12:20pm ET | $51.18 | 247 | $12,641.46 | $12,646.02 |
+$248.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $52.64 | 240 | $12,632.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $52.06 | 240 | $12,493.87 | $12,507.49 |
$-138.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $53.11 | 235 | $12,480.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:25am ET | $52.30 | 235 | $12,290.50 | $12,317.14 |
$-190.35 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 12:40pm ET | $53.46 | 230 | $12,294.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.29 | 230 | $12,717.48 | $12,739.97 |
+$422.83 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:40am ET | $57.86 | 220 | $12,729.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 12:05pm ET | $59.05 | 220 | $12,989.90 | $13,000.67 |
+$260.70 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 1:35pm ET | $59.43 | 218 | $12,955.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:05pm ET | $60.12 | 218 | $13,105.07 | $13,150.55 |
+$149.88 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $56.63 | 232 | $13,137.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.49 | 232 | $12,641.68 | $12,655.23 |
$-495.32 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.87 | 239 | $12,635.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.87 | 239 | $13,351.76 | $13,371.66 |
+$716.43 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $56.32 | 237 | $13,348.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.58 | 237 | $13,171.28 | $13,194.50 |
$-177.16 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:55pm ET | $56.18 | 234 | $13,146.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $55.57 | 234 | $13,003.38 | $13,051.76 |
$-142.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $52.20 | 250 | $13,048.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $53.27 | 250 | $13,317.50 | $13,320.51 |
+$268.75 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $51.39 | 259 | $13,310.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $50.84 | 259 | $13,166.27 | $13,176.76 |
$-143.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET | $47.82 | 275 | $13,149.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $47.23 | 275 | $12,988.25 | $13,015.88 |
$-160.88 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $50.28 | 258 | $12,970.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $51.38 | 258 | $13,256.04 | $13,300.97 |
+$285.09 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:20am ET | $53.59 | 248 | $13,289.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:50am ET | $54.19 | 248 | $13,437.88 | $13,449.77 |
+$148.80 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $54.59 | 246 | $13,429.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $53.72 | 246 | $13,213.89 | $13,234.52 |
$-215.25 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $54.20 | 244 | $13,223.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.53 | 244 | $13,549.32 | $13,560.26 |
+$325.74 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:40am ET | $55.30 | 245 | $13,549.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:10am ET | $55.02 | 245 | $13,479.70 | $13,490.83 |
$-69.43 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $57.01 | 236 | $13,454.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $56.43 | 236 | $13,317.48 | $13,353.67 |
$-137.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:15am ET | $56.01 | 238 | $13,330.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $55.41 | 238 | $13,187.58 | $13,210.87 |
$-142.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $56.15 | 235 | $13,194.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.41 | 235 | $12,785.22 | $12,801.22 |
$-409.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:15pm ET | $55.99 | 228 | $12,765.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.63 | 228 | $12,455.64 | $12,491.30 |
$-309.92 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $52.33 | 238 | $12,454.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $51.53 | 238 | $12,264.14 | $12,300.90 |
$-190.40 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 2:55pm ET | $54.92 | 223 | $12,247.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 12:20pm ET | $55.27 | 223 | $12,325.21 | $12,378.95 |
+$78.05 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $54.98 | 225 | $12,369.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $56.11 | 225 | $12,624.71 | $12,634.28 |
+$255.33 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $56.06 | 225 | $12,613.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $55.39 | 225 | $12,462.82 | $12,483.60 |
$-150.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $55.26 | 225 | $12,433.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $55.67 | 225 | $12,525.89 | $12,575.99 |
+$92.39 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $56.01 | 224 | $12,545.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $55.18 | 224 | $12,359.20 | $12,390.07 |
$-185.92 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $52.54 | 235 | $12,345.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $51.98 | 235 | $12,215.30 | $12,259.64 |
$-130.43 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $52.37 | 234 | $12,254.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.65 | 234 | $12,086.10 | $12,091.16 |
$-168.48 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $54.25 | 222 | $12,042.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $55.18 | 222 | $12,249.96 | $12,298.55 |
+$207.39 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $55.46 | 221 | $12,255.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $56.60 | 221 | $12,507.61 | $12,550.60 |
+$252.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $56.77 | 221 | $12,546.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $57.10 | 221 | $12,618.00 | $12,621.61 |
+$71.01 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $55.23 | 228 | $12,592.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $53.58 | 228 | $12,216.24 | $12,244.91 |
$-376.70 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $49.93 | 245 | $12,233.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $50.99 | 245 | $12,492.55 | $12,504.12 |
+$259.21 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $51.15 | 244 | $12,481.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $52.22 | 244 | $12,740.83 | $12,763.49 |
+$259.37 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,763.49
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,763.49
Total Return:
+27.63%