TSLA Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 45 trades in period
-5.61%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,522.88
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,089.23
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,644
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,089.23
Current Value
$9,522.88
Period P&L
$-566.35
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
17 /
28
Best Trade
+6.73%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
20h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$870,527.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-566.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-566.35
Gross Return
-5.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $10,089.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 2:55pm ET | $335.37 | 30 | $10,061.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $331.23 | 30 | $9,936.90 | $9,964.95 |
$-124.28 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $332.24 | 29 | $9,634.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:00pm ET | $339.08 | 29 | $9,833.32 | $10,163.31 |
+$198.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 11:20am ET | $343.26 | 29 | $9,954.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 11:50am ET | $345.34 | 29 | $10,014.86 | $10,223.77 |
+$60.46 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $351.68 | 29 | $10,198.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 10:15am ET | $347.15 | 29 | $10,067.47 | $10,092.52 |
$-131.25 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $337.49 | 29 | $9,787.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $334.04 | 29 | $9,687.16 | $9,992.47 |
$-100.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $355.39 | 28 | $9,950.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:45pm ET | $351.77 | 28 | $9,849.56 | $9,891.11 |
$-101.36 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $354.65 | 27 | $9,575.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 11:10am ET | $362.04 | 27 | $9,774.95 | $10,090.61 |
+$199.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $391.77 | 25 | $9,794.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $418.14 | 25 | $10,453.46 | $10,749.94 |
+$659.33 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:45am ET | $420.98 | 25 | $10,524.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $416.05 | 25 | $10,401.18 | $10,626.57 |
$-123.37 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 12:20pm ET | $419.36 | 25 | $10,484.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $412.23 | 25 | $10,305.63 | $10,448.19 |
$-178.38 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $444.26 | 23 | $10,217.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:10pm ET | $439.04 | 23 | $10,097.81 | $10,328.02 |
$-120.17 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 2:45pm ET | $442.36 | 23 | $10,174.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $427.45 | 23 | $9,831.35 | $9,985.09 |
$-342.93 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 2:00pm ET | $436.84 | 22 | $9,610.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $445.80 | 22 | $9,807.59 | $10,182.11 |
+$197.02 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $452.49 | 22 | $9,954.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET | $461.81 | 22 | $10,159.82 | $10,387.26 |
+$205.15 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 1:20pm ET | $449.59 | 23 | $10,340.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $440.67 | 23 | $10,135.41 | $10,182.22 |
$-205.04 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 2:20pm ET | $440.80 | 23 | $10,138.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $430.82 | 23 | $9,908.86 | $9,952.68 |
$-229.54 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $428.75 | 23 | $9,861.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $421.05 | 23 | $9,684.15 | $9,775.69 |
$-176.99 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:20pm ET | $430.67 | 22 | $9,474.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 10:25am ET | $439.44 | 22 | $9,667.68 | $9,968.55 |
+$192.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET | $436.81 | 22 | $9,609.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $431.71 | 22 | $9,497.62 | $9,856.35 |
$-112.20 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:00am ET | $428.04 | 23 | $9,844.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $437.08 | 23 | $10,052.77 | $10,064.20 |
+$207.85 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $449.15 | 22 | $9,881.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 12:50pm ET | $458.76 | 22 | $10,092.72 | $10,275.63 |
+$211.43 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 10:15am ET | $463.93 | 22 | $10,206.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:45pm ET | $459.13 | 22 | $10,100.75 | $10,170.02 |
$-105.61 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:15am ET | $453.35 | 22 | $9,973.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 1:00pm ET | $448.07 | 22 | $9,857.54 | $10,053.85 |
$-116.17 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:20pm ET | $458.06 | 21 | $9,619.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:10am ET | $451.76 | 21 | $9,486.96 | $9,921.55 |
$-132.30 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $445.83 | 22 | $9,808.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $437.86 | 22 | $9,632.97 | $9,746.26 |
$-175.29 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $401.76 | 24 | $9,642.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $409.90 | 24 | $9,837.60 | $9,941.74 |
+$195.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET | $419.69 | 23 | $9,652.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 12:50pm ET | $414.50 | 23 | $9,533.39 | $9,822.25 |
$-119.49 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $410.55 | 23 | $9,442.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $405.62 | 23 | $9,329.26 | $9,708.97 |
$-113.28 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:10am ET | $415.79 | 23 | $9,563.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $408.74 | 23 | $9,400.96 | $9,546.85 |
$-162.12 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:05pm ET | $417.63 | 22 | $9,187.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:35pm ET | $420.88 | 22 | $9,259.35 | $9,618.45 |
+$71.60 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $441.40 | 21 | $9,269.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $451.87 | 21 | $9,489.18 | $9,838.23 |
+$219.78 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:50am ET | $446.91 | 22 | $9,832.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $446.28 | 22 | $9,818.16 | $9,824.37 |
$-13.86 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $452.92 | 21 | $9,511.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $442.61 | 21 | $9,294.81 | $9,607.86 |
$-216.51 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:40pm ET | $483.45 | 19 | $9,185.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $478.17 | 19 | $9,085.23 | $9,507.45 |
$-100.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:35am ET | $485.53 | 19 | $9,224.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $480.55 | 19 | $9,130.36 | $9,412.83 |
$-94.62 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $457.26 | 20 | $9,145.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.69 | 20 | $9,033.80 | $9,301.43 |
$-111.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET | $434.16 | 21 | $9,117.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $443.62 | 21 | $9,316.02 | $9,500.06 |
+$198.63 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $442.40 | 21 | $9,290.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $447.58 | 21 | $9,399.18 | $9,608.84 |
+$108.78 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $453.68 | 21 | $9,527.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $448.60 | 21 | $9,420.50 | $9,502.05 |
$-106.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $427.44 | 22 | $9,403.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $422.94 | 22 | $9,304.68 | $9,403.16 |
$-98.89 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $438.49 | 21 | $9,208.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $447.95 | 21 | $9,406.95 | $9,601.91 |
+$198.75 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $432.39 | 22 | $9,512.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $419.60 | 22 | $9,231.20 | $9,320.53 |
$-281.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $423.95 | 21 | $8,903.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $419.62 | 21 | $8,812.02 | $9,229.51 |
$-91.02 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $411.09 | 22 | $9,043.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $419.26 | 22 | $9,223.72 | $9,409.25 |
+$179.74 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $418.28 | 22 | $9,202.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $423.45 | 22 | $9,315.79 | $9,522.88 |
+$113.63 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,522.88
Net Profit/Loss:
$-477.12
Total Return:
-4.77%