VXX Orion Breakout's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 51 trades in period
-3.12%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,073.78
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$12,462.85
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
19,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,462.85
Current Value
$12,073.78
Period P&L
$-389.07
Max Drawdown
-16.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
16 /
35
Best Trade
+3.99%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,320,454.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-389.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-389.07
Gross Return
-3.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Orion Breakout had $12,462.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $39.18 | 319 | $12,496.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:50am ET | $39.11 | 319 | $12,476.09 | $12,510.70 |
$-20.73 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $38.28 | 326 | $12,479.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $39.42 | 326 | $12,850.92 | $12,882.34 |
+$371.64 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $40.03 | 321 | $12,849.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 11:10am ET | $39.61 | 321 | $12,714.81 | $12,747.52 |
$-134.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 12:30pm ET | $36.32 | 351 | $12,746.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 2:10pm ET | $35.92 | 351 | $12,607.92 | $12,608.88 |
$-138.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $36.23 | 348 | $12,606.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $37.67 | 348 | $13,109.16 | $13,111.74 |
+$502.86 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $35.19 | 372 | $13,090.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:35am ET | $35.94 | 372 | $13,369.68 | $13,390.74 |
+$279.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 12:40pm ET | $34.54 | 387 | $13,366.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.84 | 387 | $13,096.08 | $13,119.84 |
$-270.90 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:55am ET | $33.62 | 390 | $13,111.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $34.33 | 390 | $13,388.70 | $13,396.74 |
+$276.90 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 3:30pm ET | $34.52 | 388 | $13,393.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.95 | 388 | $13,170.66 | $13,173.64 |
$-223.10 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $33.29 | 395 | $13,147.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 12:20pm ET | $32.91 | 395 | $12,997.48 | $13,023.54 |
$-150.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 10:40am ET | $33.48 | 388 | $12,990.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 2:30pm ET | $33.13 | 388 | $12,854.83 | $12,888.13 |
$-135.41 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $33.78 | 381 | $12,868.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $34.58 | 381 | $13,174.87 | $13,194.72 |
+$306.59 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:40pm ET | $34.56 | 381 | $13,167.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $34.19 | 381 | $13,026.39 | $13,053.75 |
$-140.97 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $34.25 | 381 | $13,049.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 11:25am ET | $33.80 | 381 | $12,877.80 | $12,882.30 |
$-171.45 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 11:50am ET | $33.32 | 386 | $12,861.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 12:20pm ET | $33.31 | 386 | $12,857.66 | $12,878.44 |
$-3.86 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $33.21 | 387 | $12,852.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:50am ET | $33.35 | 387 | $12,904.52 | $12,930.68 |
+$52.24 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET | $33.64 | 384 | $12,917.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 2:15pm ET | $33.25 | 384 | $12,768.00 | $12,780.92 |
$-149.76 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $33.42 | 382 | $12,766.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:35am ET | $33.23 | 382 | $12,691.95 | $12,706.43 |
$-74.49 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 10:30am ET | $33.62 | 377 | $12,672.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 12:30pm ET | $33.27 | 377 | $12,540.91 | $12,574.48 |
$-131.95 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $33.67 | 373 | $12,558.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $34.62 | 373 | $12,911.40 | $12,926.97 |
+$352.49 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:40am ET | $35.92 | 359 | $12,895.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:05pm ET | $36.96 | 359 | $13,268.64 | $13,300.33 |
+$373.36 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $36.81 | 361 | $13,288.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:00pm ET | $37.57 | 361 | $13,562.77 | $13,574.69 |
+$274.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $34.54 | 393 | $13,574.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:55am ET | $34.11 | 393 | $13,406.96 | $13,407.43 |
$-167.26 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 12:40pm ET | $33.24 | 403 | $13,395.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $32.91 | 403 | $13,260.72 | $13,272.42 |
$-135.01 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $32.68 | 406 | $13,266.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 12:25pm ET | $32.34 | 406 | $13,130.04 | $13,136.41 |
$-136.01 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $33.39 | 393 | $13,122.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:45pm ET | $32.97 | 393 | $12,957.21 | $12,971.35 |
$-165.06 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:00am ET | $33.60 | 386 | $12,969.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:15pm ET | $34.41 | 386 | $13,282.26 | $13,284.01 |
+$312.66 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.83 | 381 | $13,268.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $34.31 | 381 | $13,072.11 | $13,087.79 |
$-196.22 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET | $36.96 | 354 | $13,083.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $36.35 | 354 | $12,867.90 | $12,871.85 |
$-215.94 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:05am ET | $33.16 | 388 | $12,866.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $32.80 | 388 | $12,728.26 | $12,734.03 |
$-137.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET | $34.01 | 374 | $12,719.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $34.83 | 374 | $13,026.42 | $13,040.71 |
+$306.68 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $35.59 | 366 | $13,025.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET | $36.45 | 366 | $13,340.70 | $13,355.47 |
+$314.76 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $37.95 | 351 | $13,320.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $37.54 | 351 | $13,176.54 | $13,211.56 |
$-143.91 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:55am ET | $34.87 | 378 | $13,180.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $35.80 | 378 | $13,532.40 | $13,563.10 |
+$351.54 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:30am ET | $31.13 | 435 | $13,541.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $30.80 | 435 | $13,398.00 | $13,419.55 |
$-143.55 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $29.58 | 453 | $13,399.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $30.22 | 453 | $13,687.40 | $13,707.21 |
+$287.66 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $29.83 | 459 | $13,691.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:25am ET | $29.42 | 459 | $13,503.78 | $13,519.02 |
$-188.19 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $29.73 | 454 | $13,497.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.13 | 454 | $13,225.02 | $13,246.62 |
$-272.40 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:25pm ET | $26.63 | 497 | $13,235.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.01 | 497 | $12,926.97 | $12,938.48 |
$-308.14 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.49 | 488 | $12,927.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:25am ET | $26.22 | 488 | $12,795.36 | $12,806.72 |
$-131.76 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $26.29 | 487 | $12,803.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.01 | 487 | $12,666.87 | $12,670.36 |
$-136.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $26.50 | 478 | $12,667.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.22 | 478 | $12,533.16 | $12,536.52 |
$-133.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $26.24 | 477 | $12,516.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $25.95 | 477 | $12,378.15 | $12,398.19 |
$-138.33 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.08 | 426 | $12,388.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $29.77 | 426 | $12,682.02 | $12,692.09 |
+$293.90 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.56 | 477 | $12,666.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.28 | 477 | $12,535.56 | $12,560.92 |
$-131.17 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.75 | 469 | $12,545.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $27.29 | 469 | $12,799.01 | $12,814.18 |
+$253.26 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.28 | 469 | $12,791.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $26.99 | 469 | $12,655.97 | $12,678.17 |
$-136.01 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $28.70 | 441 | $12,656.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $28.38 | 441 | $12,515.58 | $12,537.05 |
$-141.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $27.64 | 453 | $12,520.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.36 | 453 | $12,394.03 | $12,410.16 |
$-126.89 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.73 | 447 | $12,393.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.38 | 447 | $12,238.86 | $12,255.94 |
$-154.22 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $29.57 | 414 | $12,241.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $29.13 | 414 | $12,059.82 | $12,073.78 |
$-182.16 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,073.78
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,073.78
Total Return:
+20.74%