Compendium › Penelope Swing › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.45%
Last Year Return
$12,531.11
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,715.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.7/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
11.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 59.3/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 37.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,004
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,715.12
Current Value
$12,531.11
Period P&L
$-184.04
Max Drawdown
-2.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+0.58%
Worst Trade
-2.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,977.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-184.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-184.04
Gross Return
-1.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $12,715.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $326.69 38 $12,414.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 11:35am ET $319.67 38 $12,147.46 $12,448.57 $-266.57
(-2.1%) 		RESISTANCE
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $361.00 34 $12,273.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $363.11 34 $12,345.57 $12,520.31 +$71.74
(+0.6%) 		RESISTANCE
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $154.13 81 $12,484.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $154.93 81 $12,549.33 $12,584.71 +$64.39
(+0.5%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $185.19 67 $12,407.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET $184.39 67 $12,354.13 $12,531.11 $-53.60
(-0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,531.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,531.11
Total Return: +25.31%
Back to Penelope Swing