Compendium › Penelope Swing › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+7.37%
Last Year Return
$11,068.58
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,308.70
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:09:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 27%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
63.1/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
58.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.27 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (27%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
41,142
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,308.70
Current Value
$11,068.58
Period P&L
$759.88
Max Drawdown
-5.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+7.91%
Worst Trade
-0.66%
Avg Trade Return
+2.48%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$65,293.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$759.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$759.88
Gross Return
+7.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,308.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $276.73 37 $10,239.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $298.61 37 $11,048.54 $11,118.24 +$809.53
(+7.9%) 		RESISTANCE
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $290.80 38 $11,050.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 11:05am ET $291.41 38 $11,073.49 $11,141.32 +$23.09
(+0.2%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $304.93 36 $10,977.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 11:20am ET $302.91 36 $10,904.76 $11,068.58 $-72.74
(-0.7%) 		RESISTANCE
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,068.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,068.58
Total Return: +10.69%
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