Compendium › Penelope Swing › LINKUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LINKUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-20 16:50:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+34.79%
2 Years Return
$15,085.48
Current Value
86%
Win Rate
$11,191.54
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 12:56:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.8/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
9.5/15
Consistency
8.9/10
Raw Quality 70.4/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 33.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,430
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,191.54
Current Value
$15,085.48
Total P&L
$3,893.92
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
12 / 2
Best Trade
+12.79%
Worst Trade
-7.33%
Avg Trade Return
+2.80%
Avg Hold Time
1.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$366,702.67
Estimated Fees
$916.76
Gross P&L
$3,893.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,977.16
Gross Return
+34.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.60%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $11,191.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 11:05pm ET $11.31 990 $11,191.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 12:35am ET $11.51 990 $11,394.41 $11,337.95 +$146.41
(+1.8%) 		RESISTANCE
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET $9.77 1,160 $11,337.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 12:25am ET $9.14 1,160 $10,605.68 $10,550.82 $-787.13
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $8.24 1,281 $10,550.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:25am ET $9.01 1,281 $11,544.81 $11,489.57 +$938.74
(+9.4%) 		RESISTANCE
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2024 5:05pm ET $24.45 470 $11,489.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 6:30pm ET $24.95 470 $11,725.95 $11,667.91 +$178.34
(+2.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $22.57 517 $11,667.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 10:20am ET $23.66 517 $12,231.97 $12,172.22 +$504.31
(+4.8%) 		RESISTANCE
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 11:50am ET $24.40 499 $12,172.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 12:50pm ET $24.74 499 $12,342.86 $12,281.57 +$109.35
(+1.4%) 		RESISTANCE
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 4:00pm ET $19.86 618 $12,281.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 5:55pm ET $22.40 618 $13,851.86 $13,786.53 +$1,504.96
(+12.8%) 		RESISTANCE
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 19, 2025 5:05pm ET $23.88 577 $13,786.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2025 6:45pm ET $24.63 577 $14,221.27 $14,151.25 +$364.72
(+3.1%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $24.25 584 $14,151.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2025 1:50pm ET $25.36 584 $14,803.17 $14,730.78 +$579.53
(+4.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $18.45 799 $14,730.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 9:00pm ET $17.09 799 $13,651.03 $13,580.07 $-1,150.71
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET $10.16 1,336 $13,580.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 4:15am ET $10.50 1,336 $14,026.37 $13,957.36 +$377.28
(+3.3%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.41 1,885 $13,957.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:00pm ET $8.00 1,885 $15,073.04 $15,000.47 +$1,043.11
(+8.0%) 		RESISTANCE
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 8, 2026 8:50pm ET $8.78 1,708 $15,000.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 8, 2026 10:30pm ET $8.85 1,708 $15,123.26 $15,047.95 +$47.49
(+0.8%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.85 1,700 $15,047.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $8.92 1,700 $15,161.00 $15,085.48 +$37.52
(+0.8%) 		RESISTANCE
54m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,085.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,085.48
Total Return: +50.85%
Back to Penelope Swing