Compendium › Trent Follower › RIVN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIVN
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.13%
Last Month Return
$18,419.67
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$19,833.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.4/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 40.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 38.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,833.12
Current Value
$18,419.67
Period P&L
$-1,413.44
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.83

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-1.11%
Worst Trade
-3.55%
Avg Trade Return
-1.83%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$152,353.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,413.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,413.44
Gross Return
-7.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $19,833.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.39 1,288 $19,822.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.18 1,288 $19,551.84 $19,562.63 $-270.48
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $16.47 1,187 $19,549.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $15.89 1,187 $18,855.50 $18,868.24 $-694.39
(-3.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $17.59 1,072 $18,856.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $17.40 1,072 $18,647.44 $18,659.20 $-209.04
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $17.92 1,041 $18,654.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $17.69 1,041 $18,415.19 $18,419.67 $-239.53
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,419.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,419.67
Total Return: +84.20%
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