Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:28:00

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 16.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 16.8

30-Day Momentum

14
-7.7%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,303.69
Current Value
$11,361.46
Period P&L
$-942.23
Max Drawdown
-58.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-7.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
5.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,014.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-942.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-942.23
Gross Return
-7.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,303.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $162.08 75 $12,156.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $170.68 75 $12,801.00 $12,948.69 +$645.00
(+5.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:20am ET $187.94 68 $12,779.92
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $192.36 68 $13,080.48 $13,249.25 +$300.56
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $235.90 56 $13,210.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $217.37 56 $12,172.72 $12,211.57 $-1,037.68
(-7.9%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
4 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $224.41 54 $12,118.36
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $226.62 54 $12,237.48 $12,330.69 +$119.12
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET $228.76 53 $12,124.14
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $228.95 53 $12,134.09 $12,340.63 +$9.94
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $277.78 44 $12,222.32
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $259.11 44 $11,400.84 $11,519.15 $-821.48
(-6.7%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $264.09 43 $11,355.87
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $263.29 43 $11,321.47 $11,484.75 $-34.40
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.74 54 $11,325.96
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $216.37 54 $11,683.71 $11,842.50 +$357.75
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $193.18 61 $11,783.98
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $190.67 61 $11,630.87 $11,689.39 $-153.11
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET $196.68 59 $11,604.12
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $196.84 59 $11,613.56 $11,698.83 +$9.44
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $239.59 48 $11,500.32
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $236.13 48 $11,334.48 $11,532.99 $-165.84
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $249.89 46 $11,494.94
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $238.74 46 $10,981.81 $11,019.86 $-513.13
(-4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET $270.05 40 $10,802.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $278.59 40 $11,143.60 $11,361.46 +$341.60
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,361.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,361.46
Total Return: +13.61%
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