Compendium › Trent Follower › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.35%
Last Month Return
$25,266.09
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$26,693.20
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:32:15

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.0/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 36.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.7

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$26,693.20
Current Value
$25,266.09
Period P&L
$-1,427.12
Max Drawdown
-44.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+1.18%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
-1.34%
Avg Hold Time
22.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,842.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,427.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,427.12
Gross Return
-5.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $26,693.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $29.18 914 $26,670.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $29.52 914 $26,985.85 $27,008.54 +$315.33
(+1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $30.84 875 $26,985.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $30.90 875 $27,037.50 $27,061.04 +$52.50
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $33.81 800 $27,048.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $33.05 800 $26,440.00 $26,453.04 $-608.00
(-2.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.39 965 $26,431.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $26.16 965 $25,244.40 $25,266.09 $-1,186.95
(-4.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
18.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,266.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,266.09
Total Return: +152.66%
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