Compendium › Trent Follower › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.79%
Last Month Return
$27,759.18
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$28,266.19
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:26:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 40.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 40.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,740
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$28,266.19
Current Value
$27,759.18
Period P&L
$-507.02
Max Drawdown
-44.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+1.44%
Worst Trade
-2.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$226,413.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-507.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-507.02
Gross Return
-1.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $28,266.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $50.65 558 $28,262.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.38 558 $28,668.92 $28,672.42 +$406.22
(+1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $38.95 736 $28,667.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $38.97 736 $28,681.19 $28,686.40 +$13.98
(+0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.75 703 $28,647.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.61 703 $27,845.83 $27,884.98 $-801.42
(-2.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
50m held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $37.68 740 $27,883.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.51 740 $27,757.40 $27,759.18 $-125.80
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,759.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,759.18
Total Return: +177.59%
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