Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:08:39

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,080
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,304.67
Current Value
$9,368.39
Period P&L
$63.72
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-2.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
9.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$75,052.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$63.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$63.72
Gross Return
+0.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,304.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $83.80 111 $9,301.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $82.86 111 $9,197.45 $9,200.52 $-104.15
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.45 114 $9,171.37
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $84.81 114 $9,668.34 $9,697.49 +$496.97
(+5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 95 $9,618.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $98.56 95 $9,362.73 $9,441.94 $-255.55
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:50am ET $88.71 106 $9,403.26
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $88.02 106 $9,329.71 $9,368.39 $-73.55
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,368.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-631.61
Total Return: -6.32%
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