Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 45%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 14.5/100
× Confidence 0.45 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (45%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,923
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,806.79
Current Value
$10,524.44
Period P&L
$717.67
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+1.90%
Avg Hold Time
14.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,737.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$717.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$717.67
Gross Return
+7.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,806.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $24.47 400 $9,786.00
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $24.60 400 $9,840.00 $9,860.78 +$54.00
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:50am ET $24.74 398 $9,847.91
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:25pm ET $24.36 398 $9,693.29 $9,706.16 $-154.62
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET $24.62 394 $9,700.24
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $27.14 394 $10,691.19 $10,697.10 +$990.95
(+10.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $25.98 411 $10,675.97
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $25.56 411 $10,503.31 $10,524.44 $-172.66
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,524.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$524.44
Total Return: +5.24%
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