Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 17:04:42

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 20.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

7
-7.5%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,176.44
Current Value
$11,593.87
Period P&L
$417.43
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+9.55%
Worst Trade
-5.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$598,405.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$417.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$417.43
Gross Return
+3.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,176.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 75 $11,126.62
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $159.49 75 $11,962.12 $12,011.94 +$835.50
(+7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.74 83 $11,930.01
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $152.96 83 $12,695.68 $12,777.62 +$765.68
(+6.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.16 83 $12,629.28
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $148.07 83 $12,289.81 $12,438.15 $-339.47
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 79 $12,360.34
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $151.91 79 $12,000.65 $12,078.46 $-359.69
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.74 77 $12,069.36
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $160.71 77 $12,374.67 $12,383.77 +$305.31
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET $163.89 75 $12,291.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $162.00 75 $12,150.00 $12,242.02 $-141.75
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $179.20 68 $12,185.81
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $174.62 68 $11,874.16 $11,930.37 $-311.65
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:00am ET $185.65 64 $11,881.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $203.38 64 $13,016.56 $13,065.33 +$1,134.96
(+9.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $209.81 62 $13,008.22
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $211.48 62 $13,111.76 $13,168.87 +$103.54
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $209.82 62 $13,008.90
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $208.90 62 $12,951.80 $13,111.77 $-57.10
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $220.15 59 $12,988.85
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $213.26 59 $12,582.05 $12,704.97 $-406.80
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $212.26 59 $12,523.38
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $217.84 59 $12,852.56 $13,034.15 +$329.18
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $219.50 59 $12,950.50
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $209.04 59 $12,333.07 $12,416.72 $-617.43
(-4.8%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
14 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:15am ET $253.79 48 $12,181.68
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $252.27 48 $12,108.96 $12,344.00 $-72.72
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $301.00 41 $12,341.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $305.63 41 $12,530.83 $12,533.83 +$189.83
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $317.99 39 $12,401.61
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $342.11 39 $13,342.48 $13,474.71 +$940.88
(+7.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 34 $13,451.76
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $409.62 34 $13,927.08 $13,950.03 +$475.32
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $408.96 34 $13,904.81
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $385.72 34 $13,114.48 $13,159.70 $-790.33
(-5.7%)
TREND_BREAK
19.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:10am ET $359.10 36 $12,927.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $350.97 36 $12,634.92 $12,867.02 $-292.68
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $326.87 39 $12,747.77
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET $320.74 39 $12,508.86 $12,628.11 $-238.91
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET $324.60 38 $12,334.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $323.26 38 $12,283.69 $12,577.00 $-51.11
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $389.84 32 $12,474.88
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $372.23 32 $11,911.52 $12,013.64 $-563.36
(-4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $424.41 28 $11,883.48
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $411.13 28 $11,511.50 $11,641.66 $-371.98
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET $421.85 27 $11,389.95
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $420.08 27 $11,342.16 $11,593.87 $-47.79
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,593.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,593.87
Total Return: +15.94%
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