Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:25:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,387.60
Current Value
$8,351.67
Period P&L
$-35.95
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+3.46%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,934.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-35.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-35.95
Gross Return
-0.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,387.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 45 $8,307.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $181.60 45 $8,172.00 $8,252.62 $-135.00
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $207.10 39 $8,076.71
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $208.47 39 $8,130.33 $8,306.25 +$53.63
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $204.09 40 $8,163.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $211.15 40 $8,445.82 $8,588.47 +$282.22
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 37 $8,400.48
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $225.87 37 $8,357.01 $8,545.00 $-43.47
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $230.74 37 $8,537.20
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $225.51 37 $8,343.87 $8,351.67 $-193.33
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,351.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,648.33
Total Return: -16.48%
Back to Trent Follower