Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:25:48

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.6/10
Raw Quality 2.6/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

15
+2.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.8 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,866.63
Current Value
$7,538.95
Period P&L
$-327.70
Max Drawdown
-27.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
5 / 11
Best Trade
+8.97%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,640.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-327.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-327.70
Gross Return
-4.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,866.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET $176.27 44 $7,756.10
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $173.23 44 $7,622.12 $7,732.67 $-133.98
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $165.26 46 $7,602.19
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $162.27 46 $7,464.42 $7,594.90 $-137.77
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 48 $7,526.40
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $152.66 48 $7,327.92 $7,396.42 $-198.48
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $124.58 59 $7,350.22
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $135.75 59 $8,009.25 $8,055.45 +$659.03
(+9.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $150.29 53 $7,965.37
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $143.91 53 $7,627.23 $7,717.31 $-338.14
(-4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $144.31 53 $7,648.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $144.43 53 $7,654.79 $7,723.67 +$6.36
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $142.24 54 $7,680.69
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.92 54 $7,501.68 $7,544.66 $-179.01
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 49 $7,527.63
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $151.70 49 $7,433.06 $7,450.09 $-94.57
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
9 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:15am ET $156.09 47 $7,336.23
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $157.51 47 $7,402.97 $7,516.83 +$66.74
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $171.80 43 $7,387.40
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $168.29 43 $7,236.47 $7,365.90 $-150.93
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $171.94 42 $7,221.48
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $171.82 42 $7,216.44 $7,360.86 $-5.04
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 31 $7,219.90
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $241.62 31 $7,490.30 $7,631.26 +$270.40
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $260.11 29 $7,543.19
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $266.74 29 $7,735.60 $7,823.68 +$192.42
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $245.90 31 $7,623.05
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $240.68 31 $7,460.93 $7,661.55 $-162.13
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $243.98 31 $7,563.38
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $242.65 31 $7,522.00 $7,620.17 $-41.38
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:30am ET $242.99 31 $7,532.69
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $240.37 31 $7,451.47 $7,538.95 $-81.22
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,538.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,461.05
Total Return: -24.61%
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