Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:08:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 40.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 40.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,865
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$28,026.68
Current Value
$27,759.18
Period P&L
$-267.51
Max Drawdown
-44.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
8 / 13
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-5.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,158,945.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-267.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-267.51
Gross Return
-0.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $28,026.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $37.37 749 $27,990.13
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET $35.94 749 $26,919.06 $26,955.62 $-1,071.07
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $41.00 657 $26,937.00
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $40.06 657 $26,319.35 $26,337.97 $-617.65
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $38.97 675 $26,303.94
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $40.20 675 $27,135.00 $27,169.03 +$831.06
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 678 $27,153.90
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $39.85 678 $27,020.00 $27,035.13 $-133.90
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $39.04 692 $27,015.68
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $38.27 692 $26,482.84 $26,502.29 $-532.84
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $40.79 649 $26,472.71
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $39.56 649 $25,674.44 $25,704.02 $-798.27
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $45.08 570 $25,695.60
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $44.48 570 $25,353.60 $25,362.02 $-342.00
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $42.80 592 $25,337.54
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $45.58 592 $26,983.36 $27,007.84 +$1,645.82
(+6.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.28 526 $26,973.28
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET $52.59 526 $27,662.34 $27,696.90 +$689.06
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $45.89 603 $27,673.18
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.82 603 $28,835.46 $28,859.18 +$1,162.28
(+4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
22.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET $51.29 562 $28,824.98
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $49.47 562 $27,802.08 $27,836.28 $-1,022.90
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $47.25 589 $27,831.02
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $49.44 589 $29,120.16 $29,125.42 +$1,289.14
(+4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $51.76 562 $29,087.60
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $50.46 562 $28,358.52 $28,396.34 $-729.08
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $51.84 547 $28,356.48
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $48.95 547 $26,775.65 $26,815.51 $-1,580.83
(-5.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $52.00 515 $26,780.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $56.42 515 $29,056.35 $29,091.86 +$2,276.35
(+8.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $61.23 475 $29,084.25
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $60.33 475 $28,656.75 $28,664.36 $-427.50
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $51.77 553 $28,628.81
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $51.05 553 $28,230.65 $28,266.20 $-398.16
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
20.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $50.65 558 $28,262.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.38 558 $28,668.92 $28,672.42 +$406.22
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $38.95 736 $28,667.20
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $38.97 736 $28,681.19 $28,686.40 +$13.98
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.75 703 $28,647.25
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.61 703 $27,845.83 $27,884.98 $-801.42
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
21 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $37.68 740 $27,883.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.51 740 $27,757.40 $27,759.18 $-125.80
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,759.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,759.18
Total Return: +177.59%
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