Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:29:16

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.4%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,232.70
Current Value
$8,712.34
Period P&L
$-1,520.39
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.47

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
1 / 9
Best Trade
+7.11%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
-1.55%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,539.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,520.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,520.39
Gross Return
-14.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,232.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $35.46 288 $10,212.11
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $34.43 288 $9,915.84 $9,936.46 $-296.27
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $35.39 280 $9,909.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $34.08 280 $9,541.00 $9,568.26 $-368.20
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $35.51 269 $9,550.85
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 269 $10,230.07 $10,247.48 +$679.22
(+7.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $36.83 278 $10,238.74
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $34.96 278 $9,718.88 $9,727.62 $-519.86
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $35.25 275 $9,693.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $35.17 275 $9,671.75 $9,705.62 $-22.00
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $30.85 314 $9,688.47
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $29.71 314 $9,328.94 $9,346.09 $-359.53
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $29.14 320 $9,323.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $28.70 320 $9,184.00 $9,206.89 $-139.20
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $24.74 372 $9,203.28
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.61 372 $9,154.92 $9,158.53 $-48.36
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.65 357 $9,157.87
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $25.40 357 $9,066.02 $9,066.67 $-91.86
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $23.76 381 $9,052.56
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.83 381 $8,698.23 $8,712.34 $-354.33
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,712.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,287.66
Total Return: -12.88%
Back to Trent Follower