Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 4, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 44%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
10.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.44 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (44%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,498
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,657.37
Current Value
$11,032.90
Period P&L
$375.53
Max Drawdown
-1.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.92

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+3.70%
Worst Trade
-0.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.77%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$42,649.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$375.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$375.53
Gross Return
+3.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,657.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $340.44 31 $10,553.64
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $339.92 31 $10,537.52 $10,641.25 $-16.12
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $352.78 30 $10,583.40
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.83 30 $10,975.05 $11,032.90 +$391.65
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,032.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,032.90
Total Return: +10.33%
Back to Trent Follower