Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:08:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 2.5

30-Day Momentum

41
+10.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,263
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,612.60
Current Value
$6,545.21
Period P&L
$-67.43
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
3 / 11
Best Trade
+9.90%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,959.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-67.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-67.43
Gross Return
-1.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,612.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $36.17 182 $6,582.94
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $35.91 182 $6,535.62 $6,565.32 $-47.32
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET $35.70 183 $6,533.10
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $35.66 183 $6,525.78 $6,558.00 $-7.32
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $28.00 234 $6,553.17
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $27.31 234 $6,389.37 $6,394.20 $-163.80
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 240 $6,384.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $26.75 240 $6,418.80 $6,429.00 +$34.80
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $22.48 286 $6,427.85
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $22.24 286 $6,359.24 $6,360.39 $-68.61
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $26.30 241 $6,338.30
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.14 241 $6,298.54 $6,320.63 $-39.76
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 250 $6,310.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $24.21 250 $6,052.50 $6,063.13 $-257.50
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 271 $6,048.72
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $22.30 271 $6,041.95 $6,056.36 $-6.77
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 255 $6,047.33
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.66 255 $6,033.30 $6,042.33 $-14.03
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 228 $6,028.32
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $25.93 228 $5,913.18 $5,927.19 $-115.14
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:00am ET $25.14 235 $5,906.73
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $24.91 235 $5,852.68 $5,873.14 $-54.05
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $25.69 228 $5,858.46
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.50 228 $6,040.86 $6,055.54 +$182.40
(+3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $25.76 235 $6,053.60
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.34 235 $5,954.90 $5,956.84 $-98.70
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 225 $5,941.13
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $29.02 225 $6,529.50 $6,545.21 +$588.37
(+9.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,545.21
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,454.79
Total Return: -34.55%
Back to Trent Follower