Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:11:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.3/10
Raw Quality 2.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
49,192
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
171 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$4,111.49
Current Value
$3,415.73
Period P&L
$-1,054.76
Max Drawdown
-63.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
5 / 22
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-2.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$198,344.43
Estimated Fees
$495.86
Gross P&L
$-1,054.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,550.62
Gross Return
-25.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.71%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 171 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $4,111.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $12.57 327 $4,111.44
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:05pm ET $12.49 327 $4,084.42 $4,063.93 $-47.51
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $10.03 405 $4,063.93
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 11:55pm ET $10.01 405 $4,057.04 $4,036.74 $-27.19
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET $9.95 406 $4,036.74
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $9.86 406 $4,000.64 $3,980.55 $-56.19
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $9.73 409 $3,980.55
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $9.49 409 $3,881.93 $3,862.27 $-118.28
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $8.36 462 $3,862.27
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET $8.11 462 $3,747.70 $3,728.67 $-133.60
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $8.71 428 $3,728.67
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $8.80 428 $3,765.47 $3,746.74 +$18.07
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 7:15am ET $8.92 420 $3,746.74
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 9:35am ET $8.70 420 $3,653.07 $3,634.57 $-112.17
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET $8.53 426 $3,634.57
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $8.28 426 $3,526.27 $3,526.27 $-126.20
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:15am ET $8.90 396 $3,526.27
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 6:40pm ET $8.93 396 $3,538.10 $3,538.10 $-5.83
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
7.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $8.53 415 $3,538.10
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:55pm ET $8.50 415 $3,527.84 $3,527.84 $-27.92
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 8:25am ET $8.92 395 $3,527.84
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $9.39 395 $3,712.77 $3,712.77 +$166.83
(+5.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET $9.15 406 $3,712.77
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 12:40am ET $9.07 406 $3,676.49 $3,676.49 $-54.75
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $8.97 410 $3,676.49
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $9.05 410 $3,707.87 $3,707.87 +$12.92
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET $9.13 406 $3,707.87
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET $9.10 406 $3,696.73 $3,696.73 $-29.65
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $9.54 387 $3,696.73
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $9.50 387 $3,680.40 $3,680.40 $-34.78
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 8:30pm ET $9.37 393 $3,680.40
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:30pm ET $9.21 393 $3,615.27 $3,615.27 $-83.37
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 11:35pm ET $9.78 370 $3,615.27
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:15am ET $9.72 370 $3,593.56 $3,593.56 $-39.74
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $8.91 403 $3,593.56
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $9.10 403 $3,668.35 $3,668.35 +$56.64
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:10am ET $9.18 400 $3,668.35
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 5:10am ET $9.01 400 $3,604.02 $3,604.02 $-82.51
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $9.04 399 $3,604.02
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:25pm ET $9.22 399 $3,678.43 $3,678.43 +$56.20
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 6:25pm ET $9.26 397 $3,678.43
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:05pm ET $9.19 397 $3,650.52 $3,650.52 $-46.23
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
22 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 5:45am ET $9.65 378 $3,650.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 6:05am ET $9.37 378 $3,545.39 $3,545.39 $-123.12
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
20m held
23 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $10.41 341 $3,545.39
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 4:55pm ET $10.30 341 $3,507.35 $3,507.35 $-55.67
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
24 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $10.71 328 $3,507.35
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.65 328 $3,489.44 $3,489.44 $-35.40
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
25 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 4:45pm ET $9.66 361 $3,489.44
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 7:45pm ET $9.55 361 $3,449.94 $3,449.94 $-56.84
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $7.92 435 $3,449.94
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:25pm ET $7.85 435 $3,418.00 $3,418.00 $-49.11
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $8.12 421 $3,418.00
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:30pm ET $8.11 421 $3,415.73 $3,415.73 $-19.36
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,415.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,584.27
Total Return: -65.84%
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