Compendium › Trent Follower › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+5.75%
2 Years Return
$10,358.78
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$9,795.16
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:23:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
67.4/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,795.16
Current Value
$10,358.78
Total P&L
$563.61
Max Drawdown
-2.1%
Sharpe Ratio
1.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+2.43%
Worst Trade
-0.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.13%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,813.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$563.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$563.61
Gross Return
+5.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,795.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 16, 2024 9:30am ET $63.43 154 $9,768.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 17, 2024 2:20pm ET $64.53 154 $9,936.85 $9,963.77 +$168.61
(+1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $73.54 135 $9,927.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 1:35pm ET $73.17 135 $9,877.28 $9,913.15 $-50.63
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $86.95 114 $9,912.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 2:25pm ET $87.35 114 $9,957.33 $9,958.18 +$45.03
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $88.69 112 $9,933.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:20am ET $90.08 112 $10,088.96 $10,113.86 +$155.68
(+1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
22h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $103.95 97 $10,083.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:40pm ET $106.48 97 $10,328.08 $10,358.78 +$244.92
(+2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,358.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$358.78
Total Return: +3.59%
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