Compendium › Victor Volume › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 3 trades in period

+13.33%
Last Month Return
$10,150.05
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$8,956.08
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:29:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 9.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+13.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.8 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,956.08
Current Value
$10,150.05
Period P&L
$1,194.00
Max Drawdown
-71.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+9.63%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
+4.45%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,499.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,194.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,194.00
Gross Return
+13.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,956.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $13.24 676 $8,950.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.52 676 $9,812.14 $9,817.95 +$861.90
(+9.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.28 687 $9,813.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $13.68 687 $9,394.73 $9,398.88 $-419.07
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 730 $9,388.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $13.89 730 $10,139.70 $10,150.05 +$751.17
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,150.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$150.05
Total Return: +1.50%
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