Compendium › Victor Volume › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.16%
Last Month Return
$5,463.48
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$5,472.22
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,472.22
Current Value
$5,463.48
Period P&L
$-8.78
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+8.83%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$34,045.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8.78
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $5,472.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.40 110 $5,434.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 110 $5,913.60 $5,951.86 +$479.60
(+8.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.64 106 $5,897.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.23 106 $5,642.38 $5,696.40 $-255.46
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET $47.07 121 $5,695.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $45.15 121 $5,462.55 $5,463.48 $-232.92
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,463.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,536.52
Total Return: -45.37%
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