Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:06:40

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.9/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 17.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,678.65
Current Value
$12,488.98
Period P&L
$-1,189.65
Max Drawdown
-47.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-142.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-4.46%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
-4.49%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$51,784.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,189.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,189.65
Gross Return
-8.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,678.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $245.00 55 $13,475.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $233.92 55 $12,865.60 $13,069.23 $-609.40
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $236.58 55 $13,011.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $226.03 55 $12,431.65 $12,488.98 $-580.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,488.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,488.98
Total Return: +24.89%
Back to Victor Volume