Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:14:58

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 37.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 32.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,134
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,056.02
Current Value
$13,746.09
Period P&L
$1,690.07
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
10 / 8
Best Trade
+10.70%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
17.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$481,434.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,690.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,690.07
Gross Return
+14.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,056.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 3:15pm ET $148.22 80 $11,857.60
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 3:15pm ET $153.24 80 $12,259.20 $12,400.02 +$401.60
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 3:40pm ET $154.01 80 $12,320.80
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $147.43 80 $11,794.40 $11,873.62 $-526.40
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $149.85 79 $11,838.15
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $153.35 79 $12,114.57 $12,150.04 +$276.42
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 1:45pm ET $154.85 78 $12,078.30
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $157.51 78 $12,285.39 $12,357.13 +$207.09
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $156.07 79 $12,329.53
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $160.63 79 $12,689.77 $12,717.37 +$360.24
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 3:30pm ET $156.01 81 $12,636.81
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $149.66 81 $12,122.46 $12,203.02 $-514.35
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $151.85 80 $12,148.00
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $154.68 80 $12,374.00 $12,429.02 +$226.00
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:40pm ET $153.66 80 $12,292.80
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:40pm ET $148.56 80 $11,884.40 $12,020.62 $-408.40
(-3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $149.77 80 $11,981.60
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $149.62 80 $11,969.60 $12,008.62 $-12.00
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $147.72 81 $11,965.32
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 81 $13,245.92 $13,289.22 +$1,280.60
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $157.14 84 $13,199.76
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $168.61 84 $14,162.82 $14,252.28 +$963.06
(+7.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $169.08 84 $14,202.72
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $182.62 84 $15,340.08 $15,389.64 +$1,137.36
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $186.01 82 $15,253.23
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $195.74 82 $16,050.68 $16,187.09 +$797.45
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 81 $16,151.40
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 81 $15,500.57 $15,536.26 $-650.83
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $187.94 82 $15,411.08
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 82 $14,743.60 $14,868.78 $-667.48
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $185.69 80 $14,855.20
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $188.52 80 $15,082.00 $15,095.58 +$226.80
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $191.05 79 $15,092.96
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $181.22 79 $14,316.38 $14,319.00 $-776.58
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.41 78 $14,227.98
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $175.07 78 $13,655.07 $13,746.09 $-572.91
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,746.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,746.09
Total Return: +37.46%
Back to Victor Volume