Compendium › Victor Volume › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 6 trades in period

-22.38%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,598.89
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$13,655.11
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:31

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 17.0/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,806
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,655.11
Current Value
$10,598.89
Period P&L
$-3,056.22
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-3.43

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-2.34%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
-4.18%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,653.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,056.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,056.22
Gross Return
-22.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,655.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.71 36 $13,597.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $368.88 36 $13,279.50 $13,337.05 $-318.06
(-2.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $377.17 35 $13,200.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 35 $12,664.38 $12,800.48 $-536.57
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 34 $12,583.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 34 $12,073.74 $12,290.48 $-510.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $350.27 35 $12,259.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 35 $11,768.75 $11,799.95 $-490.53
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.52 33 $11,534.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $335.18 33 $11,060.94 $11,326.73 $-473.22
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.35 32 $11,179.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,598.89 $-727.84
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,598.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$598.89
Total Return: +5.99%
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