Compendium › Victor Volume › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.52%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,119.00
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,259.42
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:19:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,830
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,259.42
Current Value
$9,119.00
Period P&L
$-140.45
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.55%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
16.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,013.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-140.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-140.45
Gross Return
-1.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,259.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $61.15 151 $9,233.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $60.65 151 $9,158.15 $9,183.95 $-75.50
(-0.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $60.93 150 $9,139.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:45am ET $60.28 150 $9,042.00 $9,086.45 $-97.50
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $58.62 155 $9,086.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $58.94 155 $9,135.70 $9,136.05 +$49.60
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $58.83 155 $9,117.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $58.72 155 $9,100.83 $9,119.00 $-17.05
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,119.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-881.00
Total Return: -8.81%
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