Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:08:35

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 21.7/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 19.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,858.75
Current Value
$11,658.11
Period P&L
$-1,200.64
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+8.61%
Worst Trade
-6.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.82%
Avg Hold Time
8.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$176,441.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,200.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,200.64
Gross Return
-9.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,858.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $123.84 101 $12,507.84
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $134.50 101 $13,584.50 $13,589.99 +$1,076.66
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $133.17 102 $13,583.34
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $127.14 102 $12,968.79 $12,975.44 $-614.55
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $131.28 98 $12,865.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 98 $12,030.48 $12,140.48 $-834.96
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $115.18 105 $12,093.90
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $124.47 105 $13,069.35 $13,115.93 +$975.45
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET $125.76 104 $13,079.04
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 104 $12,214.80 $12,251.69 $-864.24
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
6 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $116.95 104 $12,163.06
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $118.56 104 $12,330.24 $12,418.87 +$167.18
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $118.81 104 $12,355.72
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.49 104 $11,594.96 $11,658.11 $-760.76
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,658.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,658.11
Total Return: +16.58%
Back to Victor Volume