Compendium › Victor Volume › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-8.82%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,427.78
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,243.07
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 6.4/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,243.07
Current Value
$8,427.78
Period P&L
$-815.31
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+1.60%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
-2.42%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,131.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-815.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-815.31
Gross Return
-8.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,243.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $120.77 77 $9,299.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $117.09 77 $9,015.93 $9,019.02 $-283.36
(-3.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $121.30 74 $8,976.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $116.34 74 $8,609.20 $8,652.02 $-367.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $117.18 73 $8,554.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $119.06 73 $8,691.02 $8,788.90 +$136.88
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 74 $8,673.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $112.33 74 $8,312.42 $8,427.78 $-361.12
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,427.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,572.22
Total Return: -15.72%
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