Compendium › Victor Volume › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.92%
Last 3 Months Return
$43,860.40
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$46,128.65
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 22:15:28

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.3/35
Total Return
21.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 58.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 56.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$46,128.65
Current Value
$43,860.40
Period P&L
$-2,268.25
Max Drawdown
-40.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+8.47%
Worst Trade
-4.82%
Avg Trade Return
-1.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$376,507.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,268.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,268.25
Gross Return
-4.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $46,128.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $54.30 849 $46,100.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $58.90 849 $50,006.10 $50,034.05 +$3,905.40
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $39.34 1,271 $50,001.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $37.44 1,271 $47,592.59 $47,625.50 $-2,408.55
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $29.46 1,616 $47,607.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $28.26 1,616 $45,676.24 $45,694.38 $-1,931.12
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $30.76 1,485 $45,678.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $29.52 1,485 $43,844.62 $43,860.40 $-1,833.98
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $43,860.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$33,860.40
Total Return: +338.60%
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