Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:03:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,170
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,907.49
Current Value
$7,747.38
Period P&L
$-2,160.13
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+8.54%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
-1.35%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,998.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,160.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,160.13
Gross Return
-21.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,907.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $85.07 116 $9,867.54
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:15am ET $81.58 116 $9,463.28 $9,517.75 $-404.26
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:40am ET $77.97 122 $9,511.73
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $74.83 122 $9,129.26 $9,135.28 $-382.47
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $76.55 119 $9,109.45
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $73.43 119 $8,738.17 $8,764.00 $-371.28
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $71.74 122 $8,752.28
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $77.81 122 $9,492.21 $9,503.93 +$739.93
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $79.65 119 $9,478.35
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $80.05 119 $9,525.95 $9,551.53 +$47.60
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:05pm ET $81.69 116 $9,476.04
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $78.42 116 $9,096.72 $9,172.21 $-379.32
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET $77.72 118 $9,170.37
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET $79.43 118 $9,372.74 $9,374.58 +$202.37
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $82.05 114 $9,353.70
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $78.47 114 $8,945.58 $8,966.46 $-408.12
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $77.34 115 $8,894.10
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $74.23 115 $8,536.45 $8,608.81 $-357.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET $73.47 117 $8,595.99
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $70.42 117 $8,239.14 $8,251.96 $-356.85
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $68.13 121 $8,243.73
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $73.03 121 $8,836.63 $8,844.86 +$592.90
(+7.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $73.43 120 $8,811.60
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $70.29 120 $8,434.80 $8,468.06 $-376.80
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $74.86 113 $8,459.18
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET $71.72 113 $8,104.36 $8,113.24 $-354.82
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET $74.16 109 $8,083.44
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $71.11 109 $7,750.99 $7,780.79 $-332.45
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.21 110 $7,723.10
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $67.39 110 $7,413.45 $7,471.14 $-309.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $68.45 109 $7,461.05
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $74.29 109 $8,097.96 $8,108.05 +$636.91
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $77.10 105 $8,094.98
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $73.66 105 $7,734.30 $7,747.38 $-360.67
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,747.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,252.62
Total Return: -22.53%
Back to Victor Volume